TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,990
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,439

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,990 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c11,179$5,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,142.361,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6001,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under20c6,118$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.491,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over42c4,021$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.228,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over48c3,512$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.1564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under46c2,909$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.9969848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under13c2,824$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.9762144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under33c2,017$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.071,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.8540451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under46c1,813$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.1352150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over51c1,363$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.7252461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under67c1,103$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.0166352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over33c1,081$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.320155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41061638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under3c979$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.372,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21df…fdbcbacked Under74c945.01$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.171127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under8c769.53$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9819548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under23c616.49$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.521,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Under20c508.34$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.679349.5%46 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef85…2c38backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Under61c404.06$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.482951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20111437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20047651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over48c269$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82a1…ed3dbacked Over54c175.93$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.932347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Over78c150$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334526.7%12 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Over78c150$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3340440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Under67c147.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6610954.1%59 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over75c132.35$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0925150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0af5…154cbacked Over33c121.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.213164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x614b…ca37backed Under78c118.01$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923043.3%13 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over72c111.88$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5849247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Under47c105.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Over78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2223649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Over78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2253945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Over78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2221242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Over78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2214449.3%71 W · 73 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Over78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Over78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+53.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2245544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Over78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2217748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Over34c99.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9942348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under25c99.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Over54c92.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7416555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Over54c92.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.636247.5%172 W · 190 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under24c88.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0820247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under23c82.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.955751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c5…270abacked Under17c81.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.812035%7 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over76c74.28$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8346959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under69c72.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under68c72.7$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4421149.3%104 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cbd…a3a4backed Over34c72.06$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.568050%40 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under65c69.47$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1614148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Under25c62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.524936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Over75c61.82$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3513950.4%70 W · 69 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfae0…b443backed Under32c61.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3040548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53c…e569backed Under50c56.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.491747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over44c55.66$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1676653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over75c54.41$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.64463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1be5…66bfbacked Over49c52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Over34c51.56$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0313441%55 W · 79 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9a9…5c31backed Under23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.52050%10 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3430448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Over54c49.96$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9810746.7%50 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Over54c49.96$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9810743.9%47 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Over54c49.96$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.988843.2%38 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under37c45.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8323445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa1…f0b2backed Under47c40.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc185…7020backed Under48c38.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.592245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over78c38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3680440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Over78c38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3616640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Over78c38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3623441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.043836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Over79c37$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7716429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over48c36.11$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8119360.1%116 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Over78c35.27$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.767133.8%24 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e24…b31fbacked Over32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2514357.3%82 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under67c31.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.021,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under67c26.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.596956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1810…a73ebacked Over60c25.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.13955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over72c21.98$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2330551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e68…b271backed Over54c19.37$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.911353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.