NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x163218351b24ce1bd0185be40600814d0f2d03044f02d15bb8707e6100840602

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $679,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $783,106

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $679,382 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under	51c	145,619$74,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74,043.32	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under	50c	141,158$70,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70,579.21	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	51c	80,023$40,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,532.46	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Under	49c	62,384$30,568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,568.24	282	41.1%116 W · 166 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over	49c	50,000$24,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,500	145	38.6%56 W · 89 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Over	50c	27,500$13,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,750	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over	49c	25,000$12,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,749.95	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	49c	22,113$10,836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,277.09	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over	49c	21,000$10,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,709.97	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	48c	20,847$9,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,990.53	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked Over	51c	20,430$10,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,929.81	13	84.6%11 W · 2 L	+3.2wins	+0.25per pick	60cpaid	+52.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under	49c	18,931$9,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,208.8	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	50c	17,547$8,772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,774.99	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Over	51c	17,000$8,670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,330	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over	51c	12,109$6,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,928.78	201	55.7%112 W · 89 L	+13.0wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Over	50c	11,259$5,630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,629.71	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,000	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Under	45c	9,458$4,258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,257.74	200	57%114 W · 86 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Over	50c	8,214$4,141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,073.14	344	56.7%195 W · 149 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over	50c	6,400$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,200	241	59.8%144 W · 97 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under	51c	6,000$3,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,060	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	51c	5,854$3,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,846.69	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	49c	4,400$2,164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,163.57	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Over	50c	4,300$2,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,150	53	47.2%25 W · 28 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under	3c	3,553$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.41	195	48.2%94 W · 101 L	+12.4wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under	51c	3,400$1,727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,727.32	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under	47c	3,351$1,564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,564.25	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Over	57c	3,328$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,428.16	197	41.6%82 W · 115 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea3…fe61backed Under	1c	3,020$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.06	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	12cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Over	50c	2,942$1,471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,471.09	69	50.7%35 W · 34 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ed…b0f4backed Over	49c	2,750$1,348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,402.5	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over	57c	2,632$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,131.58	524	61.6%323 W · 201 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over	51c	2,473$1,261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,211.92	186	50%93 W · 93 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under	43c	2,275$978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$978.21	167	43.7%73 W · 94 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	39c	2,215$858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$857.72	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Over	51c	2,170$1,097 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,073.4	7	100%7 W · 0 L	+3.0wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+80.8%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	50c	2,106$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,045.88	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over	67c	2,000$1,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660.13	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Over	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	280	56.8%159 W · 121 L	+22.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Under	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	220	55%121 W · 99 L	+12.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Over	51c	1,905$981 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$924.61	166	42.2%70 W · 96 L	-11.2wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over	51c	1,500$765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$735	94	47.9%45 W · 49 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Over	50c	1,377$688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$688.45	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over	53c	1,318$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$618.08	253	60.1%152 W · 101 L	+26.2wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0a54…7c49backed Over	51c	1,290$658 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$631.92	44	65.9%29 W · 15 L	+8.9wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+55.7%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa62a…f05bbacked Over	79c	1,264$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.95	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	68cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over	50c	1,200$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bc…1b77backed Over	51c	1,157$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$567.12	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.21per pick	51cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over	52c	1,154$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$553.85	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Over	50c	1,100$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Over	52c	1,099$572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$527.66	134	41%55 W · 79 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	29c	1,096$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.55	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over	52c	1,067$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.31	219	57.1%125 W · 94 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over	52c	1,063$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.92	137	57.7%79 W · 58 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e86…fce6backed Under	49c	1,020$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a94…a3bebacked Over	51c	1,020$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.61	30	60%18 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	141	48.2%68 W · 73 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	256	51.2%131 W · 125 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over	50c	969.41$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$484.71	131	61.8%81 W · 50 L	+13.4wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Over	50c	924.98$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$462.49	88	48.9%43 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Under	48c	894.95$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.58	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Over	50c	840$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420	235	53.6%126 W · 109 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over	52c	800$416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	49c	790.57$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.98	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Over	52c	769.23$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.23	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	44c	753.48$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.53	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over	50c	700$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350	324	50.3%163 W · 161 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over	56c	692.31$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.31	364	53%193 W · 171 L	-17.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb547…ba49backed Over	49c	645.05$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.83	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+2.8wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+89.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Over	55c	636.55$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.55	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Over	39c	620.54$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$378.53	32	65.6%21 W · 11 L	+8.2wins	+0.26per pick	40cpaid	+109.4%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2c50…89b6backed Over	51c	609.46$309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.46	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7805…1baebacked Over	57c	600$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258	37	67.6%25 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	65cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cab…020cbacked Over	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.15per pick	58cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Over	52c	576.9$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.91	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Over	51c	527.98$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.71	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-5.2wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under	50c	516.52$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.26	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under	44c	514.76$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.5	688	38.5%265 W · 423 L	-26.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over	51c	509.9$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.85	137	59.9%82 W · 55 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over	50c	481.8$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.8	188	50.5%95 W · 93 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23e4…e501backed Over	52c	480.77$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.77	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+4.9wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Over	52c	444.23$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.23	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae8f…1cc3backed Over	46c	439.21$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.83	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Over	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	296	35.8%106 W · 190 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over	51c	394$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.06	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under	62c	355$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.1	59	37.3%22 W · 37 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Under	47c	349.91$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.44	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a45…1405backed Over	50c	348$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under	47c	331.5$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.81	292	43.8%128 W · 164 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe592…74adbacked Over	50c	320$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over	52c	316.76$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.76	294	49.7%146 W · 148 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Over	50c	310$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155	66	59.1%39 W · 27 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under	51c	307$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.57	498	52.6%262 W · 236 L	+15.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under	51c	300$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	600	49.8%299 W · 301 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over	50c	299.99$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.99	255	59.2%151 W · 104 L	+13.4wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5this page
1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Cavaliers won
1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5No won
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 100.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5No won
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Cavaliers won
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 16.5No won
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5No won
Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event