NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x628679ecbc643ddf9ae021b3fa244ae563f58d35c7f93280900994b5a7dd883a

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Pistons
Resolved: May 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $6,192,495
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,590,607

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,192,495 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Pistons	53c	337,227$178,323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178,322.96	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd959…daf7backed Pistons	63c	235,577$148,414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148,413.57	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Cavaliers	73c	180,730$131,258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,471.32	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers	61c	175,451$106,921 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68,529.87	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Cavaliers	37c	150,000$55,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94,499.75	111	37.8%42 W · 69 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Pistons	25c	141,525$35,585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,584.85	267	53.2%142 W · 125 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Pistons	63c	122,901$77,427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77,427.39	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Cavaliers	53c	121,321$64,848 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56,472.75	292	45.5%133 W · 159 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x971a…447dbacked Cavaliers	37c	115,835$42,859 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72,976.14	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.65per pick	35cpaid	+186.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pistons	24c	112,153$26,708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,707.59	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Cavaliers	37c	100,000$37,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63,000	145	38.6%56 W · 89 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Pistons	21c	99,421$21,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,148.65	360	23.1%83 W · 277 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Cavaliers	63c	94,159$59,242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,916.86	186	51.1%95 W · 91 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Cavaliers	40c	82,724$33,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,723.14	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Cavaliers	37c	79,972$29,879 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,092.75	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+4.9wins	+0.38per pick	31cpaid	+105.7%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3ef7…b7bbbacked Pistons	63c	78,476$49,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,439.64	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Cavaliers	37c	63,808$23,609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,198.84	117	37.6%44 W · 73 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Pistons	59c	60,331$35,505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,504.97	113	33.6%38 W · 75 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Pistons	17c	60,000$10,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,200	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers	36c	60,000$21,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38,399.79	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4900…4a72backed Pistons	52c	59,928$31,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,440.13	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-12.5wins	-0.21per pick	62cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x52f5…5e8abacked Cavaliers	56c	50,000$28,203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,796.62	37	70.3%26 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	66cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Pistons	64c	50,000$32,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,000	101	58.4%59 W · 42 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Pistons	8c	48,776$3,733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,733.18	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Pistons	1c	48,499$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.99	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x293e…4717backed Cavaliers	41c	48,262$19,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,711.34	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Pistons	63c	47,619$30,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,000	76	40.8%31 W · 45 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Pistons	62c	46,939$29,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,094.86	569	45.3%258 W · 311 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pistons	39c	46,402$18,159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,159.06	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x533c…2658backed Pistons	63c	45,958$28,953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,953.38	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde7b…5f4bbacked Pistons	17c	43,961$7,473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,473.29	48	25%12 W · 36 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Cavaliers	36c	42,000$15,327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,673.1	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Pistons	47c	40,000$18,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,700	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Cavaliers	37c	40,000$14,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,199.91	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Pistons	62c	37,841$23,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,461.36	84	51.2%43 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda17…9b48backed Pistons	7c	36,812$2,741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,740.58	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+2.6wins	+0.15per pick	46cpaid	+35%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce36…2b99backed Pistons	30c	35,320$10,648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,648.33	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Pistons	1c	33,873$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.49	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Pistons	62c	33,333$20,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,666.44	47	34%16 W · 31 L	-6.9wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Pistons	17c	33,302$5,654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,654.47	151	40.4%61 W · 90 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Pistons	38c	33,108$12,491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,491.02	621	44%273 W · 348 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Cavaliers	44c	31,500$13,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,659.99	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pistons	63c	30,000$18,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,800.05	1,197	46.7%559 W · 638 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Cavaliers	38c	30,000$11,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,600	204	54.9%112 W · 92 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Pistons	63c	30,000$18,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,900	114	47.4%54 W · 60 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Cavaliers	36c	30,000$10,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,199.87	618	51.6%319 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Pistons	16c	30,000$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,799.97	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Pistons	62c	30,000$18,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,749.84	344	56.7%195 W · 149 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Cavaliers	37c	27,000$9,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,010	89	39.3%35 W · 54 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Pistons	43c	26,648$11,458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,458.46	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Pistons	8c	26,589$2,042 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,042.23	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Pistons	41c	25,667$10,580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,580	201	55.7%112 W · 89 L	+13.0wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b4a…8060backed Cavaliers	36c	24,999$9,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,999.61	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc6…5d88backed Cavaliers	73c	24,956$18,123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,832.75	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	73cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Pistons	64c	24,000$15,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,360	116	54.3%63 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Cavaliers	38c	22,602$8,589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,013.22	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Pistons	24c	22,291$5,439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,439.42	259	25.9%67 W · 192 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafc7…eae4backed Pistons	63c	21,100$13,293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,292.79	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.36per pick	70cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9e5…1809backed Cavaliers	57c	20,000$11,338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,661.95	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Pistons	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	150	52.7%79 W · 71 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ef1…b97dbacked Cavaliers	36c	19,000$6,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,159.96	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked Cavaliers	37c	16,984$6,284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,699.87	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pistons	1c	16,452$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.23	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Cavaliers	37c	16,087$5,952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,135.07	105	30.5%32 W · 73 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Cavaliers	37c	15,800$5,846 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,953.97	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+32.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pistons	25c	15,564$3,882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,882	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Cavaliers	37c	15,500$5,735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,765	249	42.2%105 W · 144 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Pistons	0c	15,100$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed Cavaliers	78c	14,600$11,416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,184	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons	62c	14,000$8,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,720	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Cavaliers	38c	13,684$5,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,484.21	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Pistons	23c	13,150$3,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,001	135	34.1%46 W · 89 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00c…f4febacked Pistons	23c	13,119$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd501…b86ebacked Pistons	34c	13,000$4,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,420	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Pistons	39c	12,937$4,984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,984	356	50%178 W · 178 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x495c…1574backed Pistons	2c	12,680$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.02	74	23%17 W · 57 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ee…cb5fbacked Pistons	54c	12,409$6,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,660.22	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	41cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Pistons	25c	12,386$3,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,127.78	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Pistons	0c	12,190$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.76	679	11%75 W · 604 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Pistons	17c	12,000$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,040	242	52.5%127 W · 115 L	+18.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Cavaliers	38c	12,000$4,618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,382.1	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Pistons	62c	11,559$7,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,197.27	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Pistons	22c	11,127$2,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,475	97	41.2%40 W · 57 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6076…f8fdbacked Pistons	11c	10,945$1,235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,234.76	203	46.3%94 W · 109 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…ba42backed Pistons	61c	10,914$6,698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,698.27	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+65%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Pistons	16c	10,673$1,687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,687	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6853…5846backed Pistons	64c	10,350$6,624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,624	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c15…35aebacked Pistons	62c	10,100$6,263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,262.97	102	36.3%37 W · 65 L	-8.6wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-25%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ee9…f7acbacked Pistons	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	101	50.5%51 W · 50 L	+10.1wins	+0.10per pick	41cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5234…4c4fbacked Cavaliers	38c	10,000$3,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,200	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Pistons	14c	10,000$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	83	45.8%38 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe964…03cbbacked Pistons	44c	10,000$4,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,400	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Pistons	50c	10,000$5,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,039.99	328	46.6%153 W · 175 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Cavaliers	57c	10,000$5,741 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,258.67	426	40.4%172 W · 254 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pistons	63c	9,580$5,987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,987.48	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Pistons	63c	9,523$5,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,999.49	106	45.3%48 W · 58 L	-8.1wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Pistons	16c	9,140$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	110	34.5%38 W · 72 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Pistons	9c	9,000$789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$788.57	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Pistons	62c	8,738$5,418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,417.8	589	51.3%302 W · 287 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Pistons	54c	8,692$4,735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,734.69	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cavaliers vs. Pistonsthis page
1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Cavaliers won
1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5No won
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 100.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5No won
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Cavaliers won
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 16.5No won
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5No won
Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event