NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c6006cf12240bec859e115fcba8966b5a75f5eaf47351feaca75bc077f56410
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Under | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 41c | 10,449$4,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,329.81 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 42c | 8,064$3,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.79 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 58c | 7,402$4,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,145.89 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 42c | 4,737$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.06 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 60c | 4,536$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.73 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 4,249$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.59 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 41c | 3,374$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.01 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 50c | 3,036$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 52c | 2,999$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.67 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 38c | 2,828$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.16 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 2,519$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.7 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 61c | 2,243$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.81 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked Under | 39c | 2,119$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.48 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -10.1wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 41c | 2,115$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.23 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 68c | 2,058$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.3 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 62c | 2,053$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.01 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Over | 63c | 1,796$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.39 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Over | 57c | 1,712$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.22 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 64c | 1,661$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.29 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…fce6backed Under | 45c | 1,565$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 65c | 1,543$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.03 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Over | 61c | 1,476$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.41 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Over | 57c | 1,413$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Over | 63c | 1,314$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.43 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 31c | 1,249$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.63 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Over | 67c | 1,193$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.24 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5020…36fcbacked Over | 59c | 1,167$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 34c | 1,163$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.38 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 35c | 1,101$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.51 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…98d9backed Over | 64c | 1,077$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.03 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 1,069$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.39 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…1baebacked Over | 66c | 999.99$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 41c | 941.84$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.15 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Over | 53c | 922.22$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.28 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe583…95ebbacked Over | 70c | 850.87$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 35c | 667.34$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.51 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Under | 34c | 602.93$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 66c | 545.23$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.33 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 35c | 544.2$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.93 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Over | 59c | 535.59$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.59 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 36c | 531.53$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.18 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…6ad1backed Over | 59c | 514$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.74 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Over | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Under | 38c | 486.84$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over | 63c | 475.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.16 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Under | 35c | 421.43$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed Over | 68c | 417.65$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.65 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Under | 43c | 400.2$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.09 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Over | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 39c | 374$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.81 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 64c | 357.3$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.78 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…cdf9backed Over | 63c | 357$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 334.17$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…7328backed Over | 66c | 318$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 62c | 306.77$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.77 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b29…3c20backed Over | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…8d02backed Over | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…d6cbbacked Over | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed Under | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…7d12backed Over | 56c | 278.73$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 62c | 272.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.11 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…ef54backed Over | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Over | 61c | 249.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…27e4backed Under | 44c | 236.5$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 37c | 232.46$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.01 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…a565backed Over | 66c | 220$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…ad06backed Under | 35c | 218.17$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Under | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 37c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Over | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Over | 59c | 200$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f51…bbfcbacked Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 54cpaid | +96%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Over | 63c | 190.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 33c | 189.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 33c | 188.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 38c | 184.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 30c | 183$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 37c | 182.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…19fabacked Over | 65c | 179.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…38c2backed Over | 57c | 175.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Over | 59c | 164.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 182 | 42.9%78 W · 104 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9608…8cf3backed Under | 38c | 157.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473d…caabbacked Over | 66c | 151.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 63c | 151$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa139…f574backed Under | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…43b2backed Over | 58c | 146.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…270abacked Under | 42c | 141.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…0675backed Over | 62c | 139.91$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Under | 42c | 125.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 203 | 56.7%115 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 36c | 120.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Under | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Under | 42c | 118.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 100.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.