TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb9e5…1809

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: WNBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT4459.1%26 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$76,808Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$42,691.72
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20,049Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$6,951.4
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42,736Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$24,630.05
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$240
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,160
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7,799.96
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,560
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$9,610Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,610.38
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22,344Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$6,544.22
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11,338Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$8,661.95
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10,244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$2,955.89
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,590Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$3,910
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,340Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$660
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$670
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14,020Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$3,980
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14,117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,117.18
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13,404Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+33%+$4,428.5
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$638Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$637.82
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$811.78
Wizards vs. Heatbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.95
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13,836Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,836
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2466.7%16 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$789.99
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,310
Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Xiyu Wangbacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$302.3
Roland Garros WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Xinyu Wangbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$330
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Roland Garros WTA: Lilli Tagger vs Xinyu Wangbacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$6,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,079.99
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ann Li vs Shuai Zhangbacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,580Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$420
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Hailey Baptistebacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$758Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$228.58
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,014Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$282.2
Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,460Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$540
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,412Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,411.55
BNP Paribas Open: Elina Svitolina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$740
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mbokobacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$240
BNP Paribas Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$7,150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$1,850
BNP Paribas Open: Maria Sakkari vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$210
BNP Paribas Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,888Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$912
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$69
BNP Paribas Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$148.1
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10,596Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+50.8%+$5,381.17
Set 1 Winner: Baptiste vs Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$29
All 24 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.74
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.72
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$9,636Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$5,251.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$20.7
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21,652Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,651.96
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,041
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$176.12
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18,303Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$15,234.94
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$7,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$7,920
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$4,900
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$20,299.88
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16,800
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,035
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+59%+$6,367
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+50.3%+$9,054.42
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+26.2%+$682.05
All 17 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$373.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+41.1%+$1,232.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16,610Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$4,726.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,428Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$972
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$660
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4,399.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$105
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.