Euroleague · resolved market
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Beijing Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf76f7a86a4cb3e21a6d393be6b1e04c48d3038003c9eabc6070ce5b318d112d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Beijing Ducksof Guangzhou Loong Lions, Beijing Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,822 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1189…1860backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 0c | 32,757$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac02…99c5backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 0c | 32,757$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81db…2f49backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 0c | 32,757$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ea…4f53backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 0c | 32,757$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e10…e35abacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 0c | 32,757$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 22c | 18,001$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,020.13 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Beijing Ducks | 74c | 10,883$8,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,852.33 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Beijing Ducks | 79c | 3,152$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 24c | 2,934$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.71 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 24c | 2,212$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.28 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Beijing Ducks | 75c | 1,613$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Beijing Ducks | 78c | 1,386$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.44 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Beijing Ducks | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Beijing Ducks | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 21c | 929.31$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +63%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 20c | 884.57$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.58 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 20c | 879.93$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Beijing Ducks | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 24c | 788.35$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.04 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Beijing Ducks | 79c | 776.14$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Beijing Ducks | 79c | 775$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.44 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 30c | 738.05$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.87 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 18c | 704.06$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.51 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 33c | 664.82$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.35 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 28c | 621.82$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.73 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 29c | 519$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 22c | 505.03$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.73 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Beijing Ducks | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Beijing Ducks | 63c | 477.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…bbcebacked Beijing Ducks | 77c | 473.29$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 28c | 471$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.76 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Beijing Ducks | 69c | 436.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.45 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Beijing Ducks | 77c | 393$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.33 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Beijing Ducks | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae9…0624backed Beijing Ducks | 77c | 377.92$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 36c | 374.52$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 26c | 335$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 24c | 332$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.31 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…18dcbacked Beijing Ducks | 72c | 281.5$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Beijing Ducks | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed Beijing Ducks | 77c | 234.03$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 13c | 221.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 23c | 220$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Beijing Ducks | 78c | 217.87$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 25c | 197.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 23c | 196.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…8917backed Beijing Ducks | 77c | 193.49$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 37c | 184.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 23c | 177.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Beijing Ducks | 77c | 176.22$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 23c | 173.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa08b…b260backed Beijing Ducks | 77c | 162.12$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Beijing Ducks | 77c | 149$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Beijing Ducks | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…34cabacked Beijing Ducks | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Beijing Ducks | 77c | 128$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 66cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…1809backed Beijing Ducks | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Beijing Ducks | 79c | 116.2$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Beijing Ducks | 77c | 109.39$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Beijing Ducks | 77c | 102$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Beijing Ducks | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 25c | 99.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 21c | 88.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 25c | 87.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…074bbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 39c | 86.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 22c | 76.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Beijing Ducks | 74c | 72.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 21c | 68.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 24c | 68.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Beijing Ducks | 73c | 65.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Beijing Ducks | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Beijing Ducks | 76c | 60.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 23c | 60.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdeb…8cd1backed Beijing Ducks | 79c | 55.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Beijing Ducks | 78c | 53.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed Beijing Ducks | 75c | 52.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Beijing Ducks | 77c | 52.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Beijing Ducks | 70c | 50.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Beijing Ducks | 74c | 46.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 31c | 40.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25a…d724backed Beijing Ducks | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Beijing Ducks | 63c | 39.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Beijing Ducks | 80c | 38.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…d93dbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 40c | 37.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a4…d574backed Beijing Ducks | 77c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Beijing Ducks | 76c | 34.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Beijing Ducks | 77c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Beijing Ducks | 77c | 28.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Beijing Ducks | 78c | 26.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Beijing Ducks | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…a8e1backed Beijing Ducks | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Beijing Ducks | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd50…c0a8backed Beijing Ducks | 77c | 24.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d2…c802backed Beijing Ducks | 72c | 22.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Beijing Ducks | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Beijing Ducks | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…7f4abacked Beijing Ducks | 77c | 21.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.