TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,567,611

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,567,611 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 500 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Yes32c120,000$37,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,799.961747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2518…cb21backed Yes0c75,000$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No71c68,985$48,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,005.637455.4%41 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes31c65,000$20,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,049.9910450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes30c61,170$18,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,614.1590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0d…d2d9backed Yes0c59,490$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No68c56,125$38,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,959.875040%20 W · 30 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c53,888$36,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,941.42,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No69c49,717$34,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,510.7450149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed No69c43,001$29,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,330.32161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Yes31c42,075$13,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,043.223847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes32c41,885$13,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,403.1615034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes32c36,988$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,999.742326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No68c32,964$22,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,385.975242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes30c32,496$9,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,709.7120449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No69c28,034$19,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,636.8450249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97c9…5015backed Yes0c27,000$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No68c24,793$16,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,811.45152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No69c24,300$16,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5333366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No74c16,587$12,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,324.3911839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes32c15,625$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00012338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c13,905$10,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,861.084,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes31c11,616$3,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,579.8550243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No69c9,602$6,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,020.515757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No69c9,061$6,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,808.99956.6%56 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No68c7,421$5,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,374.796839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No76c6,417$4,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.2192254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed No69c6,000$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+76.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed No68c6,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9201855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5285…99a1backed Yes31c5,779$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.46955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked Yes30c5,446$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.761315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes32c5,436$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.5820245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No70c5,258$3,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.5883640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes16c5,088$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82113969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed No69c5,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.16051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed Yes32c4,553$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.892958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No70c4,312$3,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.585440.7%22 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…1809backed No71c4,232$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes16c4,207$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67823727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No68c4,000$2,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.9815952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked No71c3,838$2,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.4922753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes31c3,821$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.8926550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No78c3,639$2,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.419557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes1c3,574$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.742850%14 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes32c3,567$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.887132.4%23 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No70c3,346$2,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.85950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Yes29c3,333$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.573145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Yes30c3,248$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.025046%23 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes18c3,200$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9819130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf49…e7f4backed No68c3,138$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.46850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No69c3,071$2,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.6142851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No69c3,005$2,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.811336.3%41 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+450.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes31c2,500$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.9930446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes28c2,399$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.11315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-54%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes27c2,388$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.0119662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006640.9%27 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Yes13c1,999$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.917719.5%15 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc389…6b32backed Yes29c1,773$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No69c1,763$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.271,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Yes31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.36per pick54cpaid-72.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes31c1,503$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.039058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xae87…c735backed No69c1,452$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed No70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.71742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28b7…c41cbacked No70c1,427$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.28683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No74c1,369$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.8322553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x152d…c689backed Yes1c1,357$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked No69c1,344$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.554055%22 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No69c1,338$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.0864046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No68c1,318$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.649748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Yes32c1,250$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.011266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5844…7d6dbacked No70c1,235$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c39…ca9dbacked Yes12c1,202$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No69c1,058$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.971090%9 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick72cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3204254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3209656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes31c934.95$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.54360.5%26 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…3b03backed Yes11c900$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Yes34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No71c872.33$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.174465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No69c840$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.423762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b05…434ebacked Yes30c839.97$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.99520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked No76c800$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No70c800$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24022552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No78c776.32$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.1145841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes30c739.6$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.882860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+39.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked No69c724.77$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.775052%26 W · 24 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick68cpaid-24.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4fd8…ad3abacked Yes28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No71c699.97$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9910268.6%70 W · 32 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76f6…21bebacked Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002138.1%8 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-34.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes32c687.6$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22020148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a83…c494backed No73c683.37$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.51475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+64.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9317…5a5fbacked No71c659.77$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes31c635.08$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ba…c976backed Yes32c625.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes31c624.86$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3932545.2%147 W · 178 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes18c609.46$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.958045%36 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes3c600$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18254%1 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-81%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes30c600$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1807644.7%34 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.