TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$587,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $587,376 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e0…024ebacked No70c100,000$70,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,000.066145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes32c77,091$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0006832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes35c74,084$25,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,982.014,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No60c24,646$14,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,905.2211839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No67c19,888$13,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,493.7350149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…13cdbacked No70c16,305$11,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,891.55560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes38c15,901$6,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,042.255040%20 W · 30 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed No71c15,000$10,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,350.13158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No60c14,444$8,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,830.6790843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd505…2774backed Yes2c12,283$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x702b…dedebacked Yes29c11,357$3,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,249540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No71c10,013$7,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,873.673053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0006839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No72c8,840$6,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,475.181855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c8,470$5,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,508.531,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No70c7,354$5,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,231.8992254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No70c6,675$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,995.27339.7%29 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes29c5,172$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes31c5,105$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.9620245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36c8…53a9backed No55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes29c4,805$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.622,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked No61c4,756$2,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.9322753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes28c4,312$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.365440.7%22 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No12c4,272$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,772.0713969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes29c4,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes30c3,567$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.37132.4%23 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Yes44c3,567$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.431457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2903737.8%14 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Yes26c2,930$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.48550.6%43 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9d…821fbacked Yes28c2,900$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8121546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2b…34e4backed No70c2,679$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.81742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No14c2,562$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.499530.5%29 W · 66 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe64f…7d71backed No70c2,469$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.8850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No74c2,390$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.591,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No39c2,056$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.3419662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes5c2,013$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes42c1,667$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No70c1,600$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.7542851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes51c1,390$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.421,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.922365.2%15 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked No72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.891118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.36per pick54cpaid-72.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No58c1,300$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5524837.5%18 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02b6…fbbbbacked No70c1,253$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes25c1,234$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.2849057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4c1…0bc4backed No71c1,218$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.22837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No70c1,005$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.53438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010431.7%33 W · 71 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes13c994.31$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.265538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Yes30c978.67$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.61266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes44c824.09$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36145841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes5c700$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358525.9%22 W · 63 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-28%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbc0…3a4abacked Yes29c640$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.650%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes31c600$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9112954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes4c599.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24254%1 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-81%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes30c599.37$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8130749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No48c557.03$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.5521322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No57c555$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.657936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes70c552.64$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.8510634.9%37 W · 69 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Yes46c546.3$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.751464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes26c543.12$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.2112821.1%27 W · 101 L-12.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-51.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes29c536.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6532645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e7d…224cbacked Yes28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Yes48c500.1$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes34c480$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.260147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed No73c471.23$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.238100%8 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+57.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffb…2d43backed Yes28c467.78$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3721…1903backed Yes28c465.38$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.31425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x423e…06f9backed Yes28c435.26$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8730%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x020a…4b8abacked Yes28c435.18$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Yes34c408.01$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.463342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked No70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+73.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11622746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf3…504fbacked Yes29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf756…59c2backed Yes24c399.25$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed No72c398.63$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.621163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3798…c20ebacked Yes70c393.48$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.073040%12 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes29c382$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.781926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes27c382$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1483650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked No69c372$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8910143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked No18c361.11$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.111513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…5c87backed Yes30c360$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.49540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aba…00d8backed Yes28c359.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.85151%26 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a33…8fd8backed Yes17c358.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid+19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No70c357.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.295450%27 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes29c348.62$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1d…e1f4backed Yes28c344.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2509…c93bbacked Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b2d…cb6bbacked Yes30c325$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes57c323.52$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9735145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No31c323.28$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.028045%36 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed No72c317$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.826550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes27c304.1$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1189050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x744e…3224backed Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4840%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc99f…aeb1backed No51c284.98$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.1333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-34.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes28c269.42$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.046839.7%27 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No50c256.06$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.038075%60 W · 20 L+13.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+39.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No63c253.97$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.971090%9 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick72cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.