TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Naomi Osakaof Camila Osorio, Naomi Osaka
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$260,724
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$313,806

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,724 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba81…dc35backed Camila Osorio33c16,852$5,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,563.3122242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Camila Osorio20c10,866$2,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,162.197,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Camila Osorio50c9,987$4,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,993.2564755.2%357 W · 290 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Camila Osorio48c8,073$3,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,875.248851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Camila Osorio30c4,783$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.5834047.4%161 W · 179 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Naomi Osaka70c4,587$3,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38011,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1bf…492ebacked Camila Osorio23c4,147$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.82646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Camila Osorio49c3,878$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.029242.4%39 W · 53 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Naomi Osaka76c3,198$2,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.521,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Camila Osorio52c3,060$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591.152544%11 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Naomi Osaka76c2,764$2,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.086,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Naomi Osaka68c2,321$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.522,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Naomi Osaka51c2,304$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.961,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Naomi Osaka49c2,082$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Camila Osorio40c2,072$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.763,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Camila Osorio28c2,060$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.062,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Naomi Osaka49c2,013$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.613631.6%43 W · 93 L-11.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9e5…1809backed Naomi Osaka73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5402466.7%16 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Naomi Osaka48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.9958734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Naomi Osaka51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.9959348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Naomi Osaka71c1,977$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.722347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Naomi Osaka50c1,930$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.7858232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Naomi Osaka72c1,919$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.096,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Camila Osorio31c1,868$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.668026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Camila Osorio23c1,602$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.838013.9%53 W · 327 L-38.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Camila Osorio28c1,498$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.185348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Camila Osorio35c1,415$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.754138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1e…2b75backed Camila Osorio1c1,411$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Camila Osorio50c1,338$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.6389850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Camila Osorio29c1,264$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.788,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…ee5abacked Camila Osorio18c1,247$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.3914822.3%33 W · 115 L-14.8wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfd3d…1702backed Naomi Osaka62c1,220$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.347851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Naomi Osaka77c1,209$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.644,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Naomi Osaka51c1,191$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.6547252.1%246 W · 226 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Naomi Osaka47c1,170$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.2118256.6%103 W · 79 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Camila Osorio42c1,167$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.0954345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Naomi Osaka51c1,165$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.7132851.8%170 W · 158 L+1.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Naomi Osaka49c1,163$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.271,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Camila Osorio26c1,152$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.6617348%83 W · 90 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked Naomi Osaka74c1,063$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.5621567.4%145 W · 70 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc829…cad3backed Naomi Osaka50c1,007$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.8711945.4%54 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Naomi Osaka47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5302133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Camila Osorio50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50060856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddec…0015backed Camila Osorio51c999.97$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.995040%20 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb416…4588backed Naomi Osaka62c905.32$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.024057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Naomi Osaka56c877.9$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.9732031.3%100 W · 220 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Naomi Osaka47c851.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.0676140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa164…7d86backed Naomi Osaka54c833.12$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.922248.2%107 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Naomi Osaka66c797.54$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.1221655.6%120 W · 96 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Naomi Osaka77c721.62$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.9715854.4%86 W · 72 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Camila Osorio51c700$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3571,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Camila Osorio48c699.98$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.573549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e1…ecdbbacked Camila Osorio21c698.87$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.2448935.8%175 W · 314 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eaf…507bbacked Camila Osorio14c677.43$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8418133.1%60 W · 121 L-14.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Camila Osorio37c652.75$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.244,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Camila Osorio49c612.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30097141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Naomi Osaka72c601.98$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5554249.3%267 W · 275 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Camila Osorio28c586.37$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.181,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Naomi Osaka74c578.43$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.31,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Camila Osorio14c520.17$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0358021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe193…cc85backed Naomi Osaka78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Naomi Osaka76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12015248%73 W · 79 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Camila Osorio18c476.66$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.821,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Camila Osorio51c475.77$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.641,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Naomi Osaka71c463.62$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.451,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Naomi Osaka65c452.3$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.396035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Camila Osorio35c417.09$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.3225957.1%148 W · 111 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Camila Osorio37c410.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.164,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Naomi Osaka52c395.67$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.921,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Naomi Osaka52c393.11$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.724747.4%117 W · 130 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Camila Osorio52c373.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.248041.3%33 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Naomi Osaka60c357.91$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.888,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a75…4342backed Naomi Osaka68c347.61$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.232857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Camila Osorio51c336.21$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.821,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Camila Osorio51c330.92$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.071,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Camila Osorio28c315.56$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.233,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Camila Osorio18c307.97$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4439845.5%181 W · 217 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Camila Osorio51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15370652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Naomi Osaka69c298.17$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9673458.6%430 W · 304 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Camila Osorio24c270.19$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.682,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Camila Osorio50c269.58$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.672,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Camila Osorio50c259.98$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.457,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Camila Osorio49c247.2$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.131,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Naomi Osaka51c246.2$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4584857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Naomi Osaka71c238.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8319351.8%100 W · 93 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Camila Osorio24c238.84$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2828724.4%70 W · 217 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Naomi Osaka72c237.02$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.972,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Naomi Osaka69c234.5$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.81,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Camila Osorio38c233.1$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5868157.6%392 W · 289 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Naomi Osaka71c224.01$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8711759.8%70 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Naomi Osaka58c219.32$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.575619.6%11 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-54%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Camila Osorio26c218.89$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.382,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d5e…de1dbacked Naomi Osaka65c218.7$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.542934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Camila Osorio34c217.56$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.695,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Naomi Osaka52c211.1$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5427846%128 W · 150 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cc8…c21fbacked Camila Osorio39c209.97$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.896933.3%23 W · 46 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf23a…df6fbacked Camila Osorio16c204.16$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1251252.1%267 W · 245 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Naomi Osaka49c203.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.825250%26 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a9…e573backed Camila Osorio49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9812025.8%31 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef9…8a00backed Naomi Osaka75c198.06$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.223961.5%24 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.