TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe031…5c08

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
758
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT73549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 735 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Arthur Ferybacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$31.5
Parma: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$32.51
Bordeaux: Alex Molcan vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$17.92
Cordoba: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Juan Bautista Torresbacked Juan Bautista Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.24
Valencia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.43
Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$73.45
Paris: Madison Keys vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Anastasia Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Oeiras 4: Jaime Faria vs Emilio Navabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.83
Valencia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.88
Bordeaux: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Quentin Halysbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.83
Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Ilya Ivashka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.88
Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+146.8%+$74.93
Valencia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.79
Paris: Katie Volynets vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.49
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$8.29
Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
Cordoba: Juan Bautista Torres vs Miguel Tobonbacked Miguel Tobon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.78
Parma: Susan Bandecchi vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Susan Bandecchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.15
Paris: Diane Parry vs Chloe Paquetbacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$20.97
Valencia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.28
Oeiras 4: Petr Brunclik vs Jaime Fariabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+121.1%+$45.29
Bordeaux: Titouan Droguet vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.72
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$13.95
Bengaluru 2: Kriish Tyagi vs Hamish Stewartbacked Kriish Tyagi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$45.03
Valencia: Dusan Lajovic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$12.73
Showing 25 of 735 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-81.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+76%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-65.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 1 Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$37.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.