Fifa International · resolved market
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x703ac6a57d3ce5186986b3fd2f770a3798a8238449c7a4414e7950f354519fbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 27,387$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 3c | 7,832$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.68 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b3…93cbbacked Yes | 0c | 7,429$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3157…5903backed Yes | 1c | 7,060$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 2c | 6,326$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.46 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 4c | 6,251$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.87 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 3c | 5,253$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.06 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 8c | 3,710$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.37 | 157 | 63.7%100 W · 57 L | +16.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 4c | 3,218$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.62 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 4c | 3,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.03 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaefd…27d8backed Yes | 3c | 3,085$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes | 4c | 2,784$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f70…123dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,685$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12c…cdfbbacked Yes | 4c | 2,597$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 2c | 2,015$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 8c | 1,871$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.16 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…7dcdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,608$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16a…d1e4backed Yes | 2c | 1,444$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 3c | 1,440$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987c…cd13backed Yes | 4c | 1,339$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…9adcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,154$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Yes | 5c | 1,044$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb605…dff4backed Yes | 3c | 1,034$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Yes | 3c | 1,021$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 232 | 36.6%85 W · 147 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…0545backed Yes | 3c | 805.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…1619backed Yes | 4c | 789$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…a2acbacked Yes | 3c | 725.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 4c | 714.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 4c | 702$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe031…5c08backed Yes | 4c | 629.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 3c | 535.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…9dbebacked Yes | 2c | 505.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…8a2cbacked Yes | 3c | 502.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee9…68fbbacked Yes | 4c | 496.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…208cbacked Yes | 4c | 468$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Yes | 3c | 438$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6218…8a7ebacked Yes | 3c | 411.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca69…c952backed Yes | 4c | 384.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 4c | 365$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315b…d386backed Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 192 | 25%48 W · 144 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Yes | 3c | 330$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 185 | 10.8%20 W · 165 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…3305backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Yes | 9c | 181.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 8c | 139.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-08?this page
- Will France vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw?No won
- Will France win on 2026-06-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.