Fifa International · resolved market
Will France vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47c24cd8c444543effa1a0d8824fb7269a63eb98876046ef7e397931ff258916
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 0c | 24,999$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 0c | 24,915$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 7c | 15,804$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.59 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…3fe7backed Yes | 1c | 13,000$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 0c | 12,426$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 5,587$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.06 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 7c | 3,929$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 3,292$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 10c | 3,223$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.12 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…0545backed Yes | 3c | 2,525$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…7568backed Yes | 4c | 2,477$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,063$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…1764backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +277.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,683$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 8c | 1,370$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.43 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f70…123dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 9c | 999.92$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 185 | 10.8%20 W · 165 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 8c | 738.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 7c | 723.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe031…5c08backed Yes | 10c | 612$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 10c | 560$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Yes | 6c | 549.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 8c | 515.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 7c | 499.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 5c | 427.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 10c | 411.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 10c | 386.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…144bbacked Yes | 7c | 362.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4516…cc3abacked Yes | 6c | 338.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 6c | 332.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 7c | 330$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked Yes | 7c | 271.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 8c | 267.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…6d50backed Yes | 7c | 257.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 9c | 239.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 9c | 199.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 141 | 19.9%28 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315b…d386backed Yes | 8c | 182.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 192 | 25%48 W · 144 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 8c | 167$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46f…3ab4backed Yes | 9c | 166$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…06e6backed Yes | 7c | 153.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba1…f0c9backed Yes | 7c | 152$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 8c | 149.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1416…670cbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 9c | 130$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…b237backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 12c | 122.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…fbcfbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee9…68fbbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 575 | 41.7%240 W · 335 L | -20.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 464 | 45.5%211 W · 253 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw?this page
- Will France win on 2026-06-08?Yes won
- Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.