Fifa International · resolved market
Will Peru vs. Spain end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca2f44325855b87742931ce63665485603e0dc47eebc69245f7f25a91b50e3c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa398…6c83backed Yes | 13c | 23,755$3,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.29 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb6…f90bbacked Yes | 51c | 9,003$4,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,591.53 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8893…be06backed No | 49c | 9,003$4,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,591.53 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Yes | 0c | 3,820$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,004$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.37 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 13c | 2,308$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 11c | 2,280$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.25 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 11c | 2,006$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.66 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,485$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Yes | 1c | 1,200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed Yes | 5c | 1,031$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Yes | 11c | 999.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.96 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac8…5518backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 11c | 711.82$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe031…5c08backed Yes | 12c | 540$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c5…88d0backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Yes | 12c | 352.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 13c | 340$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0766…77dcbacked Yes | 12c | 318.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 11c | 304.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 222.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 12c | 217$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 12c | 214.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed Yes | 8c | 179.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 300 | 40.3%121 W · 179 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 28.1%66 W · 169 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6280…434abacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…92c1backed Yes | 11c | 145.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46f…3ab4backed Yes | 11c | 131.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb567…2a7dbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…6d50backed Yes | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 12c | 90.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Yes | 13c | 81.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 136 | 23.5%32 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Peru vs. Spain end in a draw?this page
- Will Peru win on 2026-06-08?No won
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.