Fifa International · resolved market
Will Peru win on 2026-06-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bc2b2373ea7b98442eb76db74e6d4336591ec5206f10e8bd1acd1d7d3c759e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $223,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 3c | 32,437$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.6 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Yes | 0c | 19,869$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 1c | 10,339$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.32 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe073…9959backed Yes | 5c | 7,004$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.98 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 5c | 3,589$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.9 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 5c | 3,500$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,229$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.52 | 122 | 6.6%8 W · 114 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 4c | 3,183$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.38 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,914$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.34 | 301 | 17.9%54 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 2,799$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 3c | 2,374$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.77 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…a486backed Yes | 4c | 2,373$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes | 4c | 2,332$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…cf4cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,021$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 3c | 1,928$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,809$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 4c | 1,600$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 3c | 1,555$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,445$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,419$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b9…122cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,294$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,262$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c5…88d0backed Yes | 4c | 1,247$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,174$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd9…a37fbacked Yes | 5c | 955.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 4c | 926.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…5e63backed Yes | 4c | 828.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c5…c593backed Yes | 4c | 810.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Yes | 5c | 709$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 295 | 29.8%88 W · 207 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4072…6761backed Yes | 5c | 664$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…c733backed Yes | 4c | 657.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 5c | 638.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 11.7%12 W · 91 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Yes | 7c | 616$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe031…5c08backed Yes | 5c | 589.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 5c | 574.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 558.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Yes | 4c | 527$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Yes | 3c | 519.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…9dbebacked Yes | 4c | 500.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 3c | 499.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d8…3f71backed Yes | 5c | 475$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 4c | 457.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264f…1b98backed Yes | 4c | 442.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…a3e3backed Yes | 4c | 436.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 4c | 417.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a82…30aebacked No | 67c | 400$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 4c | 361.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 5c | 340$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Yes | 4c | 331.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 4c | 324.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Yes | 4c | 315.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 232 | 36.6%85 W · 147 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d5…dc7bbacked Yes | 4c | 313.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Yes | 4c | 264.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Peru win on 2026-06-08?this page
- Will Peru vs. Spain end in a draw?No won
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.