TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Paris: Madison Keys vs Anastasia Zakharova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Madison Keysof Madison Keys, Anastasia Zakharova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,534
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,219

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,534 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Anastasia Zakharova12c11,593$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.268,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Madison Keys79c7,976$6,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.0393740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Madison Keys75c5,321$3,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.914,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Anastasia Zakharova16c4,800$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.9933955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Madison Keys78c4,098$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.921,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Anastasia Zakharova16c2,500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40027733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Anastasia Zakharova17c2,052$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.861,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Anastasia Zakharova5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51f9…26f8backed Madison Keys74c1,731$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.491540%6 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Anastasia Zakharova17c1,539$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.712,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Anastasia Zakharova17c1,480$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.073,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Anastasia Zakharova26c1,291$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.976,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa03f…fa16backed Anastasia Zakharova4c1,290$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502454.2%13 W · 11 L+7.5wins+0.31per pick23cpaid+402.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Anastasia Zakharova18c1,155$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.424,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c87…98b1backed Anastasia Zakharova1c1,045$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.62262.2%5 W · 221 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-62.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Anastasia Zakharova17c921.35$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.631,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Anastasia Zakharova15c846$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.985634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Anastasia Zakharova26c755.38$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.448214.1%68 W · 414 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb416…4588backed Madison Keys77c699.99$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1614057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1740…529ebacked Anastasia Zakharova16c666.67$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107062.9%44 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Anastasia Zakharova24c659.4$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.932,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Anastasia Zakharova19c605.95$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.177,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Anastasia Zakharova15c562.25$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.588950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Madison Keys79c472.51$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.128,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Anastasia Zakharova11c466.81$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.742540%10 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Madison Keys80c325.4$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1791755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Madison Keys71c296.01$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.461,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Madison Keys68c295.89$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8953752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Anastasia Zakharova25c288.03$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.963,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Anastasia Zakharova18c287.17$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6916047.5%76 W · 84 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Anastasia Zakharova34c285.62$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.111,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57c3…44b8backed Anastasia Zakharova29c274.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.636225.8%16 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+113.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Anastasia Zakharova12c271.29$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.927,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Anastasia Zakharova16c263.71$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4292138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a37…6c95backed Anastasia Zakharova18c250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455322.6%12 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Anastasia Zakharova17c240.04$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0137233.9%126 W · 246 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Anastasia Zakharova28c203.58$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.522,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Madison Keys77c201.79$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8812836.7%47 W · 81 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Anastasia Zakharova5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-83.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10dd…4831backed Anastasia Zakharova20c199.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Madison Keys74c196.07$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.983,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Anastasia Zakharova15c176.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.387,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Anastasia Zakharova30c175.93$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.784,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe720…2bb3backed Anastasia Zakharova15c160$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247636.8%28 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dab…e5c0backed Anastasia Zakharova23c153.31$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9316028.8%46 W · 114 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Anastasia Zakharova32c152.82$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.939845.5%181 W · 217 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa363…46c8backed Anastasia Zakharova17c141.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2422821.1%48 W · 180 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea60…cc6bbacked Madison Keys73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.994358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b8f…449bbacked Madison Keys78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.217159.2%42 W · 29 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Madison Keys71c125.99$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5443067%288 W · 142 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Madison Keys76c123.42$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.756,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9121…bd6cbacked Anastasia Zakharova9c118.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116953.6%37 W · 32 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Anastasia Zakharova14c114.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.685624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Madison Keys74c108.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1194255.8%526 W · 416 L+19.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…3f90backed Anastasia Zakharova28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015570.3%109 W · 46 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2040…70f4backed Anastasia Zakharova15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick27cpaid+102.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ff…e781backed Madison Keys76c94.59$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.73100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Madison Keys80c93.75$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.751,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c08…3704backed Anastasia Zakharova16c92.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159952.5%52 W · 47 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf060…fc59backed Anastasia Zakharova17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513231.1%41 W · 91 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75ab…b20ebacked Anastasia Zakharova17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513440.3%54 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked Anastasia Zakharova17c87.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.794240.5%17 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Madison Keys79c84.43$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.939,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Anastasia Zakharova18c72.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.721,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Anastasia Zakharova23c72.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.632,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Anastasia Zakharova17c70.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2173549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Anastasia Zakharova34c67.18$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8410144.6%45 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed Anastasia Zakharova29c65.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.127437.8%28 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf5…e0d5backed Anastasia Zakharova17c65.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.125642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0378…030bbacked Madison Keys73c64.38$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3810764.5%69 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Anastasia Zakharova26c59.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.84,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x534a…023abacked Anastasia Zakharova34c59.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.36836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Anastasia Zakharova34c57.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6131563.5%200 W · 115 L+21.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Anastasia Zakharova34c54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3656744.6%253 W · 314 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cff…eeb8backed Anastasia Zakharova20c53.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5713013.8%18 W · 112 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-65.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf748…c387backed Madison Keys77c52.68$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.126660.6%40 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+38.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8711…d2d0backed Madison Keys78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2843358.4%253 W · 180 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0a…36d8backed Madison Keys74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5438262.3%238 W · 144 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9124…7a4dbacked Madison Keys79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.975078%39 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick73cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Madison Keys73c34.49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2819051.1%97 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe37…911dbacked Madison Keys75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.532675.2%245 W · 81 L+20.4wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ec7…ed98backed Madison Keys74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.034456.8%25 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Madison Keys76c27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4831366.8%209 W · 104 L+27.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Madison Keys78c25.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.582,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed Madison Keys78c16.66$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6916350.9%83 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.