TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a37…6c95

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT5322.6%12 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$147.33
Astana: Aziz Dougaz vs Sergey Fominbacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
ITF Chacabuco: Josefina Estevez vs Fernanda Labranabacked Josefina Estevez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$276.19
Gibson vs. Cocciaretto: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
ITF Cordenons: Francesca Curmi vs Martina Trevisanbacked Francesca Curmi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$404.55
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+900%+$207
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodarbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublevbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros WTA: Magda Linette vs Iga Swiatekbacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+10,087.9%+$5,272.19
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierrabacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.21
Roland Garros ATP: Valentin Royer vs Novak Djokovicbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullinbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+812.1%+$230.78
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$197
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-73.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advancebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 1 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$394.54
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+203%+$101.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.