Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0095bd8dac677f1016825175d3cb021c4363d1747ab64e72c866482a482f68e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aryna Sabalenkaof Aryna Sabalenka, Daria Kasatkina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $377,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $373,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $377,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x187a…a22bbacked Daria Kasatkina | 9c | 36,027$3,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,155 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Daria Kasatkina | 8c | 24,320$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.96 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daria Kasatkina | 3c | 16,026$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.93 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Daria Kasatkina | 9c | 10,190$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.1 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Daria Kasatkina | 9c | 8,200$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Daria Kasatkina | 9c | 8,041$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.79 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…5124backed Daria Kasatkina | 8c | 5,815$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.22 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Daria Kasatkina | 5c | 5,717$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Daria Kasatkina | 2c | 5,557$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.14 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Daria Kasatkina | 5c | 5,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.21 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Daria Kasatkina | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Daria Kasatkina | 4c | 4,680$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.36 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Daria Kasatkina | 5c | 4,026$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.22 | 246 | 31.3%77 W · 169 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Daria Kasatkina | 9c | 3,726$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf203…bffabacked Daria Kasatkina | 7c | 3,500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Daria Kasatkina | 9c | 3,403$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Daria Kasatkina | 3c | 3,304$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.06 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Daria Kasatkina | 5c | 3,183$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.07 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Daria Kasatkina | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Daria Kasatkina | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Daria Kasatkina | 8c | 2,940$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Daria Kasatkina | 9c | 2,812$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Daria Kasatkina | 4c | 2,508$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 23.1%24 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ae…a3d4backed Daria Kasatkina | 8c | 2,432$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.6 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Daria Kasatkina | 6c | 2,234$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.38 | 278 | 36.7%102 W · 176 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Daria Kasatkina | 8c | 2,100$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Daria Kasatkina | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Daria Kasatkina | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Daria Kasatkina | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.93 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…affebacked Daria Kasatkina | 2c | 1,926$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Daria Kasatkina | 9c | 1,619$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.64 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Daria Kasatkina | 7c | 1,588$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.14 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Daria Kasatkina | 4c | 1,552$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked Daria Kasatkina | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 119 | 19.3%23 W · 96 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Daria Kasatkina | 5c | 1,451$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Daria Kasatkina | 5c | 1,432$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Daria Kasatkina | 10c | 1,392$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…fceebacked Daria Kasatkina | 4c | 1,259$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Daria Kasatkina | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…1902backed Daria Kasatkina | 9c | 1,200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Daria Kasatkina | 4c | 1,164$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Daria Kasatkina | 5c | 1,100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Daria Kasatkina | 5c | 1,092$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Daria Kasatkina | 6c | 1,087$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.67 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74b…4e15backed Daria Kasatkina | 5c | 1,041$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Daria Kasatkina | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Daria Kasatkina | 9c | 999.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Daria Kasatkina | 8c | 999.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Daria Kasatkina | 8c | 937.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 75 | 12%9 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Daria Kasatkina | 5c | 902.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Daria Kasatkina | 10c | 864.47$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.45 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Daria Kasatkina | 9c | 780.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Daria Kasatkina | 4c | 769.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Daria Kasatkina | 6c | 756.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Daria Kasatkina | 9c | 683$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…b377backed Daria Kasatkina | 10c | 680$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Daria Kasatkina | 9c | 666.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Daria Kasatkina | 9c | 650.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a37…6c95backed Daria Kasatkina | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Daria Kasatkina | 3c | 612.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Daria Kasatkina | 8c | 610$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…7a21backed Daria Kasatkina | 5c | 587.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Daria Kasatkina | 5c | 512.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Daria Kasatkina | 5c | 510.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Daria Kasatkina | 8c | 500.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 149 | 33.6%50 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Daria Kasatkina | 4c | 499.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…78aebacked Daria Kasatkina | 7c | 479.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 159 | 28.9%46 W · 113 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7b…26aebacked Daria Kasatkina | 4c | 430$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Daria Kasatkina | 4c | 429.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed Daria Kasatkina | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 10.9%20 W · 164 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Daria Kasatkina | 7c | 371.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 302 | 26.8%81 W · 221 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94e…b2c7backed Daria Kasatkina | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Daria Kasatkina | 9c | 340$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc654…3126backed Daria Kasatkina | 11c | 310$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49e9…8588backed Daria Kasatkina | 8c | 275$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed Daria Kasatkina | 5c | 273.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Daria Kasatkina | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 304 | 36.8%112 W · 192 L | -19.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Daria Kasatkina | 5c | 249.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6075…2f82backed Daria Kasatkina | 8c | 237.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Daria Kasatkina | 8c | 236.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 329 | 37.1%122 W · 207 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Daria Kasatkina | 6c | 234.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Daria Kasatkina | 7c | 201.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Daria Kasatkina | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Daria Kasatkina | 9c | 199.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Daria Kasatkina | 8c | 193$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 631 | 44.1%278 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Daria Kasatkina | 8c | 188.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…9d3bbacked Daria Kasatkina | 8c | 185.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Daria Kasatkina | 11c | 177.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Daria Kasatkina | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Daria Kasatkina | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Daria Kasatkina | 9c | 136$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Daria Kasatkina | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe635…b1a2backed Daria Kasatkina | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Daria Kasatkina | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef81…1a9ebacked Daria Kasatkina | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4de…672abacked Daria Kasatkina | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkinathis page
- Aryna Sabalenka vs. Daria Kasatkina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Sabalenka vs. Kasatkina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs KasatkinaSabalenka won
- Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Kasatkina (+1.5)Sabalenka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.