TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,533,769
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,494,375

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,533,769 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,708 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x88c4…129abacked No58c95,677$55,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,441.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac0…55f3backed Yes70c73,738$51,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,862.154374.4%32 W · 11 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+36.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1d20…6e1dbacked No8c67,250$5,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,292.17520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-66.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No55c61,416$33,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,500.815261.2%93 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a91…6d50backed No9c53,386$4,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,984.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa487…474bbacked No8c47,985$3,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,667.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e13…a801backed Yes55c44,070$24,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,782.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+143.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f2f…9d99backed No40c42,400$16,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,761.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed No6c33,613$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,144.942634.6%9 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked No14c32,492$4,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,560.58355.7%2 W · 33 L+0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid-70.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed No37c32,000$11,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,689.295561.8%34 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Yes79c29,239$23,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,140.14450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f9e…3a0ebacked No61c28,111$17,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,197.52147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No16c27,598$4,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,313.1912534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed No8c26,650$2,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,074.079723.7%23 W · 74 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked No14c22,235$3,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,042.5212454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed No16c21,081$3,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,313.269551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x540d…122bbacked Yes60c19,287$11,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,665.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefdc…9776backed Yes73c19,128$14,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,069.05666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc326…1db1backed Yes62c17,258$10,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,560.461457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No9c17,032$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.374030%12 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x837f…86b7backed Yes70c16,889$11,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,089.05475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Yes46c16,280$7,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,822.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick28cpaid+132.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed No10c15,319$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.2218538.9%72 W · 113 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No18c15,134$2,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,748.216137.7%23 W · 38 L-9.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-26.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbe48…2ac2backed No16c14,911$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.762213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-79.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9524…86cfbacked No10c14,500$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+67.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad9…7e66backed No17c13,686$2,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,378.437631.6%24 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No1c13,525$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.32310%0 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed No53c13,123$6,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,971.031241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbebe…72e1backed Yes51c11,610$5,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,678.931533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-30.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e34…9cd8backed No19c11,550$2,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,223.4840%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf14c…5287backed Yes44c11,357$4,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,361.75933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No0c11,069$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0726330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed No56c10,740$5,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,990.813221.9%7 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a70…cba6backed Yes40c10,405$4,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,209.141435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ae0…f861backed Yes41c9,857$4,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,824.861752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f9…f701backed Yes40c9,752$3,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,836.3633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+45.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed No12c9,372$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.581266.3%8 W · 118 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69cc…2e44backed No15c9,173$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9e…6838backed No33c9,118$3,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,051.552343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2974…9c23backed No58c8,777$5,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,051.14450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed Yes40c8,645$3,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,217.452941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1370…2cfdbacked No23c8,470$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,969.595156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0d5…116cbacked Yes43c8,375$3,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,810.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+135%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c4…8ce2backed Yes68c8,167$5,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,631.111241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd90a…d094backed No39c8,134$3,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,168.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c42…3656backed No63c8,112$5,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,101.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked No12c7,760$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.5222337.2%83 W · 140 L+20.1wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c4c…8d85backed No5c7,600$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.192425%6 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf63d…5648backed Yes62c7,518$4,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,867.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+330.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d34…7c14backed No10c7,270$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.913619.4%7 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-63.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf870…ae68backed Yes39c7,183$2,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,398.271729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed No7c7,092$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed No32c6,909$2,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,195.127540%30 W · 45 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes77c6,895$5,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.5210443.3%45 W · 59 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes71c6,780$4,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,967.716225.3%41 W · 121 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7bf…ee7dbacked Yes75c6,635$4,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7637…ffcdbacked No6c6,299$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.751338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick26cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No50c6,220$3,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,111.78838.6%34 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b9b…0a0bbacked Yes37c6,162$2,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,909.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+173.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef6…7547backed No9c6,100$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No17c5,965$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.0280225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f4f…1bd9backed No18c5,938$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.174535.6%16 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3869…2d67backed No31c5,938$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,821.723826.3%10 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-38.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7754…9709backed Yes58c5,881$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,481.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Yes39c5,846$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,591.41560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x018c…9794backed Yes68c5,846$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,845.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Yes74c5,701$4,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.767431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked No15c5,699$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.964035%14 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93d4…7345backed No67c5,618$3,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,744.962857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2448…f0acbacked Yes48c5,521$2,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,877.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No54c5,441$2,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,927.78757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd04…fbb0backed No6c5,347$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.0830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes50c5,295$2,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,667.2348961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2c41…133ebacked Yes40c5,156$2,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,086.71633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed No12c5,125$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.041136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick20cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x171c…4837backed No19c5,012$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed No4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009838.8%38 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed Yes35c4,950$1,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,206.634949%24 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes69c4,904$3,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.39643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked No68c4,883$3,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,298.35714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b3…2cfdbacked No7c4,882$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e93…4325backed No47c4,831$2,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,261.33728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4de7…1982backed Yes37c4,700$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,960.981942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf498…6f2bbacked Yes73c4,688$3,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.024163.4%26 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No67c4,554$3,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,046.96237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No37c4,542$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.871,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No56c4,541$2,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,526.5821333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf07…c770backed No10c4,477$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.14352.9%1 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick15cpaid-82.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae74…8393backed Yes67c4,441$2,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed No7c4,316$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.6278317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b29…1227backed No11c4,310$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.373732.4%12 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Yes39c4,293$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,618.821478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.26per pick53cpaid+53.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked No7c4,284$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.7270%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5e…3a87backed Yes76c4,199$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.782445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked No24c4,167$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005839.7%23 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4650…b4babacked No15c4,149$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked No47c4,022$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,873.533321.2%7 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.