TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93d4…7345

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst Music at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.17
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$779.98
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,745Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,744.96
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.67
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.98
Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$299.97
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.96
Portugal leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$289.99
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$529.99
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$440
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$460
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$104.99
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$409.97
France leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$509.99
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$690
Spread: France (-2.5)backed Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$640
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$217.12
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$205
Spread: Spain (-3.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.52
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$544
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$135
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$172.86
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$770
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$510.03
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$50.27
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+287.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+61.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+82.8%+$55.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$219
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$589.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.