Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ce27a9af7a6ed851823912d72302cc49a8995d7a3b38fdfac6ec7258a46e288
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,310 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 39c | 707.42$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.55 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 55c | 671.57$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.76 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 23c | 661.17$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.08 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 27c | 524.71$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.78 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 11c | 467.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.98 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed Yes | 42c | 443.58$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.36 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 11c | 387$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.83 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 6c | 338.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 183 | 16.4%30 W · 153 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…931abacked Yes | 33c | 301.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.75 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d4…7345backed Yes | 62c | 272.11$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…e041backed Yes | 32c | 249.63$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.28 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…0ab4backed No | 64c | 242.74$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.67 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 8c | 234.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.37 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 61c | 228.48$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 73c | 212.16$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.08 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 61c | 208.45$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…017cbacked Yes | 19c | 202.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.59 | 238 | 23.9%57 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 36c | 200.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.97 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 48c | 193.78$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.94 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 13c | 191.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.05 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 30c | 188.09$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.36 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…522abacked No | 8c | 181$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 6c | 167.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.67 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 76c | 160.43$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.88 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed Yes | 42c | 156.64$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.73 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 79c | 154.94$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.69 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed Yes | 7c | 147.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 18c | 141.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2205…8089backed No | 39c | 140.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 290 | 56.2%163 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 28c | 124.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 21c | 106.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.29 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…7900backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 12c | 99.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 62c | 97.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 12c | 96.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda7b…3c9fbacked No | 62c | 95.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 125 | 67.2%84 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 13c | 90.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…e770backed No | 67c | 90.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 13c | 83.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…b254backed Yes | 21c | 81.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 598 | 18.4%110 W · 488 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 69c | 71.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Yes | 68c | 66.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a0…636abacked No | 20c | 60.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…8d3cbacked No | 38c | 57.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…10efbacked Yes | 65c | 54.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…0d79backed No | 68c | 52.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…3961backed Yes | 77c | 50.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 65c | 49.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7a…957ebacked No | 23c | 46.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…fbdebacked Yes | 74c | 44.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 34c | 44.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 34c | 43.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c84…88f3backed Yes | 74c | 38.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9b…994dbacked Yes | 79c | 33.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 39c | 32.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151a…714ebacked Yes | 68c | 30.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c6…30f4backed Yes | 71c | 28.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…d6f3backed Yes | 73c | 27.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b24…6e4abacked No | 50c | 26.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9e44backed No | 61c | 25.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -66%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd05…0e6ebacked No | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…087fbacked No | 64c | 21.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 441 | 47.4%209 W · 232 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…9fb3backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x521f…f0dbbacked No | 64c | 17.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcc…bf17backed Yes | 65c | 15.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 78c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 59°F or below on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 78°F or higher on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.