TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x32e5…931a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Macro Indicators, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Macro Indicators at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will Seattle have between 7 and 8 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.1
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.3
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+204.8%+$202.75
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+110.4%+$86.46
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$49.95
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46.06
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$87.45
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on March 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on March 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$19.2
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.46
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+426.1%+$680.56
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$34.6
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$39.9
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+427.2%+$162.35
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+70.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will B8 Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.41
Will The MongolZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.46
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.64
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$222
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+693.8%+$555
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$1,860
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+155%+$274.82
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$117.72
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.93
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.31
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$222.73
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$244
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.82
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.92
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$92.14
All 24 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+38.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$99.23
Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.1
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+277.4%+$44.1
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 5% and 10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.4
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$24.76
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+267.8%+$102.66
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$310.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-79.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick10cpaid+317.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-51.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 4 weeks or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.