Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bef7c8b853e8fcc3e8f211243e71fb6212b6026abaf573506b9c6e2bc571582
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09e7…2737backed Yes | 78c | 2,498$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 19c | 1,570$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.87 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…5fe1backed Yes | 50c | 922.54$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…b7a0backed No | 2c | 681.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 30c | 616.4$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…c1c4backed Yes | 7c | 548.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.79 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 468.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.77 | 299 | 13.7%41 W · 258 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…f9bfbacked Yes | 9c | 441.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +231.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5c…fd72backed Yes | 10c | 435.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +168.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4e…0e65backed Yes | 24c | 411.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +311.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd30e…1a5dbacked Yes | 7c | 353.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +317.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…16a7backed Yes | 6c | 322.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…920fbacked Yes | 17c | 313.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +337.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…b169backed No | 34c | 218.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ff…cf90backed Yes | 52c | 212.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…931abacked Yes | 6c | 200.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 10cpaid | +317.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…a97fbacked Yes | 11c | 100.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +201.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 16c | 81.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.42 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 57c | 63.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?this page
- Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be 3.7% or higher?No won
- Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?No won
- Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?No won
- Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?No won
- Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?No won
- Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.