Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa84dec4c80de2969f0225472c7a7018f2b5c2a87e7def6388f8a8b599af43010
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 21c | 719.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe034…5f9ebacked Yes | 34c | 618.27$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9de…e717backed Yes | 3c | 506.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004a…0ba1backed Yes | 23c | 431.42$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…3699backed Yes | 26c | 351.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 73c | 288.86$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2303…fb76backed No | 78c | 255.89$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…6b54backed Yes | 7c | 203.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f7…87aebacked No | 69c | 192.52$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…edfdbacked Yes | 6c | 167.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +237.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 13c | 157.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bf…45bdbacked Yes | 31c | 135.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd77…4b6abacked No | 80c | 131.68$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 20c | 116.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ee…cc59backed Yes | 21c | 114.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…68a1backed Yes | 24c | 109.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4f…ca52backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 26c | 99.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Yes | 53c | 94.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…4006backed Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…00f3backed Yes | 31c | 61.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd665…56ccbacked No | 74c | 60.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…ac58backed Yes | 23c | 55.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 65c | 48.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed Yes | 28c | 46.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c1…df40backed Yes | 35c | 43.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…cb8ebacked Yes | 29c | 39.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 76c | 33.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 61c | 32.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…3c91backed No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed No | 78c | 32.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 67c | 31.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bf…5892backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…d3d5backed Yes | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked No | 75c | 26.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed No | 66c | 24.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…f12ebacked No | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 74c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f7…4d7cbacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?this page
- Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be 3.7% or higher?No won
- Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?No won
- Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?No won
- Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?No won
- Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?Yes won
- Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.