TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Macro Indicators · resolved market

Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,156
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,709

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,156 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcac6…0d1bbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2df7…7a94backed Yes71c3,975$2,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,819.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4541…30d3backed Yes2c3,300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes24c1,250$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.993010%3 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19e1…976dbacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4a0…4c03backed No15c699.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.99580%4 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.64per pick16cpaid+378.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfe1a…6bccbacked No20c604.4$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.67525.3%19 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04dc…2387backed No29c573.02$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.923330.5%71 W · 162 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe025…a845backed No40c545.87$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.18333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d5b…7744backed Yes78c515.96$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe792…80bcbacked Yes73c479.06$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No39c448.36$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.8911359.3%67 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2bc…0810backed Yes69c427.64$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No76c427.36$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No36c416.67$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.8512049.2%59 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f63…6643backed No71c411.21$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.2120100%20 W · 0 L+5.4wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc796…6e44backed Yes77c408.06$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa87a…5403backed No30c370$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.4560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+67.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf887…6b54backed No43c307.39$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.351030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-47.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa761…2157backed Yes66c304.71$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8030…7b74backed Yes31c296.9$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.55425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-35.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes60c284.01$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.142420.8%5 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-45.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ab6…3a89backed No73c265.37$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f2…38efbacked No30c203.93$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5f…634dbacked No27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1468528.2%24 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f4b…f9bfbacked Yes48c179$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.26742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+231.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb11a…edfdbacked No15c168.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+237.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No47c160.11$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2310836.1%39 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes64c155.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.392040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes49c150$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3617528%49 W · 126 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4497…673ebacked Yes64c140.11$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1033…c765backed No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.583100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+54.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aea…189abacked Yes78c128.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1bf…45bdbacked Yes36c111.8$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.66825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No46c109.9$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.037466.2%49 W · 25 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x49c5…b169backed Yes35c108.48$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No31c104.45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.62222.7%5 W · 17 L-5.1wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-55%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd590…5eeebacked Yes69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6950%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99ba…6391backed No26c99.34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.35850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ef…d98abacked No33c91.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+205.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2762…2cf6backed Yes62c90$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.420%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c87…1d10backed Yes72c82.84$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No36c78.92$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5920242.1%85 W · 117 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2354…fab1backed No76c78.59$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x007f…233abacked No76c77.36$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21cd…a903backed Yes67c74.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2db…236fbacked Yes73c71.42$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf503…39e2backed No29c65.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+246.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60a5…a97fbacked Yes38c65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.65333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+201.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5e…332ebacked No38c63.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.22540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9de…e717backed Yes73c61.21$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed No39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.774744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked Yes68c56.31$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.361872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes69c56.03$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6430918.1%56 W · 253 L-29.6wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-44.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbe48…2ac2backed Yes62c55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes66c54.79$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.083850%19 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47a5…6834backed No76c50.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75be…fb77backed Yes69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1029…9b36backed No33c49.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae01…0c40backed No29c48.88$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.88540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7807…7436backed Yes67c48.85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb6c…1838backed No32c46.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf47d…b582backed Yes70c43.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No28c40.7$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.11450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+49.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7593…e677backed No29c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+68.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f07…3f04backed Yes67c35.52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No29c35.47$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.052524%6 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-39.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd88a…1579backed Yes43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6a5…4540backed Yes73c33.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4120%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83a2…3073backed Yes67c32.54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes78c31.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.643743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2141…13b6backed Yes78c30$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.36per pick58cpaid-71.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No41c29.32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.383450%17 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93a8…60d3backed Yes78c29.13$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No40c25.71$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.442941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd58c…8954backed No40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d8f…4aeebacked Yes68c23.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42a…cb8ebacked No61c23.25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1918…5a25backed Yes78c22.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79e6…aaa1backed Yes68c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1158…1b98backed Yes75c19.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc81…e072backed No76c19.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e74…46d9backed Yes74c18.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a25…6a17backed Yes79c18.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes79c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.81421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-45.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Yes80c12.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10875%6 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.