TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa42a…cb8e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Commodities, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 55 out of 100; worst Weather at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$929.66
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$777.19
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.86
Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$11.12
Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,826Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$1,211.48
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.63
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$50.73
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$116.15
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,929Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+130.2%+$2,511.24
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.88
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$43.65
Valorant: DRX vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$25.21
Valorant: DRX vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$587.51
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.9
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.09
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.07
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+217.5%+$39.29
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+50%+$16.57
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$8.1
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$6.41
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$26.82
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
Will USD reach 1.6M Iranian rials by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$15.98
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$28.09
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.59
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$72.99
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$270.32
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+52.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-57.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-57.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+110.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+188.3%+$36.27
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+701.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$154.46
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard #1 song for the week of April 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$24.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Unión: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will David Scott be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BC.Game make a roster move before May? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$5.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.