TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,567
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,567 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03a3…fdf4backed No77c773$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a10…e7d3backed Yes23c748$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+116.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad5…6f41backed Yes23c738$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+288.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5469…13e5backed No45c717.76$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc988…c19fbacked No45c715.46$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x293b…c83bbacked No77c713$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc83…bbc4backed No45c711.23$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa210…4b7cbacked No45c682.58$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec7…35f7backed No45c682.17$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd110…de23backed No45c675.4$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcac…3a8fbacked No45c671.26$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ca…cbddbacked No45c651.22$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7508…8d4ebacked No45c644.46$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7de…9dfcbacked No45c638.76$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6cc…e9a2backed No58c605.83$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3137…7339backed Yes54c590.8$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c02…c208backed No41c374.21$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c3…bd1cbacked No41c372.53$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a6…c8d8backed No41c371.9$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5d…d649backed No41c370.3$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8635…03a8backed No41c365.99$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x573d…2808backed No41c365.96$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65bd…fdc1backed No41c363.53$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x272b…2546backed No41c363.52$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x025a…1a76backed Yes50c363.47$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc8…96dabacked No41c362.59$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e3…4e41backed No41c360.2$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x545d…20c7backed No41c360.12$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd0…b6f0backed No41c356.82$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e31…9df1backed No41c355.38$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83f3…e609backed Yes50c354.01$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x256d…026dbacked No41c351.93$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…57e2backed No41c351.76$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4448…90dabacked No41c351.71$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20d…2f01backed No41c351.64$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e13…055dbacked Yes50c350.4$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5812…90a9backed Yes50c350.17$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e9e…472abacked No41c348.48$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa863…b1b7backed Yes50c348.29$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac87…217dbacked No41c348.11$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44e6…5ec9backed No41c345.57$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc71…b45bbacked No41c345.18$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5470…026dbacked No41c345.02$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa292…d691backed No41c344.6$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96f0…2b81backed No41c344.23$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0409…b1d6backed No41c343.69$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb3…6c6fbacked No41c343.2$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x741a…ae6bbacked No41c342.51$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c6…eca1backed Yes50c342.48$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f6c…f4d7backed No41c342.37$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18b9…b250backed No41c342.18$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a52…2f3fbacked No41c342.06$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3bb…4131backed No41c342.06$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…6ebfbacked No41c341.59$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x743b…ada6backed No41c341.31$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d5…faf5backed No41c340.94$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc43e…56b0backed No41c340.94$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2b4…a2bcbacked No41c340.91$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2f…a2b7backed No41c340.49$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2acb…b682backed No41c340.48$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a15…f36dbacked No41c340.47$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x129e…7710backed No41c340.44$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa582…01eabacked No41c340.44$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2d…4af9backed No41c340.43$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…d40fbacked No41c340.42$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c3…0093backed No41c340.4$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bb3…9cf7backed No41c340.4$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbea8…80c3backed No41c340.31$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5b…dd56backed No41c340.05$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafa7…dcc8backed No41c339.71$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b59…41c0backed No41c339.69$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d62…6c73backed No41c339.6$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0dd…dcbcbacked No41c339.15$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f38…bdbbbacked No41c338.86$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca5…9931backed Yes50c338.85$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…20cbbacked No41c338.26$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0b…72e4backed No41c337.81$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x811a…ac3cbacked No41c336.9$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a2…085cbacked No41c336.22$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4e…312abacked No41c336.02$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73bf…7159backed No41c334.61$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc7c…6004backed No41c332.37$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ca…9009backed No41c332.19$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ae…d12ebacked No41c331.96$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea53…6f7abacked No41c330.85$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb87f…f02ebacked No41c327.57$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd70…b4b4backed No41c327.27$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef5…e610backed No41c327.22$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bc…ad51backed No41c326.95$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9e7…e053backed No41c325.22$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x218a…181bbacked No41c324.08$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b5…ca30backed No41c323.66$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68a3…49fabacked No41c322.62$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ba…5b8fbacked Yes50c322.14$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5690…2c93backed No41c320.4$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b15…2fb8backed No41c319.7$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0214…13f3backed Yes50c318.77$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73de…ea44backed No41c318.09$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb34d…5f71backed No41c317.76$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b6b…062abacked Yes50c315.9$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.