TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x03a3…fdf4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
183
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: IPO, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category IPO at 55 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$737Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$215.59
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$157.6
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$154.16
Will "Sentimental Value" win no awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.25
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.65
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.95
Will One Battle After Another win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$625.3
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$44.7
Will Retirement Plan win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.36
Will Erin Doherty win Best Actress in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$230.68
Will "One Battle After Another" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+37%+$94.77
Will "Copshop" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (February 10)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$89.43
Will Jesse Armstrong - Mountainhead win Best Director of a Movie for Television at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+25%+$125
Will Liz Patrick - SNL50: The Anniversary Special win Best Director of Variety at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$44.1
Will Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.3%+$31.86
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$95.68
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$138.9
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+41.1%+$20.98
Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$341.68
Will Jafar Panahi be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$67.65
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$62.7
Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+244.8%+$124.25
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$204.36
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28.3
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+107.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.08
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$726Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+171.8%+$1,247.82
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.52
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.04
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$32.67
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.9
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+3,348.3%+$462.2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$132.44
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$489.84
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$141.2
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$123.84
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$371.46
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$131.82
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$209.44
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$318.08
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+222.6%+$442.98
Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+37%+$162
Will Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$82.11
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$35.91
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$31.24
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.85
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$109
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14.52
All 24 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.4
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$136.3
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.8
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.00 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$606Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$181.01
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.85
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.47
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.88
Will Jensen Huang be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.51
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$63.36
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.16
Will "Apple Music" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$234.52
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20.69
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.25
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$79.56
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$506.4
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$402.51
GPT ads by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+376.2%+$222.78
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$55.2
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.25
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.24
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$29.19
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.7%+$119.97
All 23 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.67
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$459.33
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$46.64
Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$392.08
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$39.22
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.3
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.36
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+270.4%+$688.39
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$172.63
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.48
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$144.29
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+257.1%+$384.48
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.03
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$139.86
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+566.7%+$80.75
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$189
Will November 2025 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20.51
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+27.9%+$83.34
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+53.8%+$33.25
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+170.3%+$33.39
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.08
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$89.25
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$11.18
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.28
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$36.8
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.71
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+112.3%+$160.29
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$32.66
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.48
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$56.55
Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$154.24
Will the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$66
Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$80.39
Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+29.4%+$58.79
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.75
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$67.39
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$36.43
Will GERB-SDS win between 60-64 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.08
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.89
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.18
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will the Democratic Party for the People loose any seats in Japanese snap election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+69.5%+$99.63
Will Keir Starmer say "Constructive" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$169.6
Will PLN win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.39
Will André Ventura win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$87.36
Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 84% and 86%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$124.65
Will Daniel Băluță get between 25% and 30% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14.85
Will Daniel Băluță get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+170.3%+$64.26
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+212.5%+$27.88
Will Anca Alexandrescu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$99.04
All 14 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+89.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-53.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+65.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$283.92
Dundee United FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$380.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jurgen Klopp be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.4
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$466.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+525%+$219.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$329.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+354.5%+$603.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$74.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketballbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$613.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,085Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$408.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 40 by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$17.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fernando Mendoza win the Heisman Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$79.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$205.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BC.Game make a roster move before May? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$594.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$586.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.