AI · resolved market
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37cb77f90138907af46a518e8b2b6bb6771bec1b4f84710c9b323ff809ee940a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 6c | 6,000$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.66 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…be28backed Yes | 17c | 3,019$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 2,990$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54d…8be1backed No | 79c | 2,400$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…3e12backed Yes | 72c | 2,085$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.67 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 9c | 2,037$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.58 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 78c | 1,854$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.55 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9f…069fbacked No | 22c | 1,718$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +350.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf22…5473backed Yes | 18c | 1,664$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 7c | 1,620$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.17 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed No | 60c | 1,429$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 13c | 1,386$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.27 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 14c | 1,368$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.68 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b72…124fbacked No | 77c | 1,319$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked No | 78c | 1,260$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…12dfbacked Yes | 25c | 1,167$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 16c | 999.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 968.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa732…8818backed Yes | 80c | 900$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Yes | 24c | 863.17$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.4wins | -0.40per pick | 49cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 9c | 832.61$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…a8c5backed Yes | 18c | 791$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.38 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.37per pick | 44cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes | 20c | 712$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.66 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed Yes | 22c | 697$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.34 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3a…ca4cbacked No | 79c | 692$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.09 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 3c | 683.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad7…c55bbacked Yes | 45c | 660.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 5c | 657.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 175 | 4%7 W · 168 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 8c | 630.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe005…14fdbacked Yes | 59c | 620.4$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed Yes | 13c | 612$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked Yes | 12c | 606$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2e5abacked Yes | 33c | 599.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeab9…2ff1backed Yes | 13c | 596$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked Yes | 23c | 574$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.02 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 553.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 24c | 537.61$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 23c | 528.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…0176backed Yes | 12c | 514$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…8b9dbacked Yes | 8c | 508.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e77…3273backed Yes | 22c | 505$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…6bdebacked Yes | 23c | 491$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.93 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed No | 77c | 454$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked No | 80c | 438$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.32per pick | 55cpaid | -67%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 4c | 425$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd1…2bb3backed Yes | 12c | 418$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…e1babacked Yes | 16c | 413$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed Yes | 12c | 412$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 48c | 404.55$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.27 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f01…c213backed No | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…84e3backed No | 80c | 385$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed Yes | 20c | 385$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…cca3backed Yes | 18c | 375.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…4a70backed Yes | 13c | 368$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed Yes | 23c | 367$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a54…db64backed No | 77c | 367$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 4c | 358.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 16c | 349.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…8547backed No | 77c | 349.22$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…34e0backed Yes | 18c | 347$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…d6f1backed Yes | 15c | 343$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 16c | 337.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 18c | 336.37$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…d620backed Yes | 19c | 332$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…ab69backed Yes | 15c | 328.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…da43backed No | 79c | 322.39$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.91 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…6d3cbacked Yes | 12c | 310$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed Yes | 13c | 310$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked Yes | 12c | 310$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 15c | 307.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…d03dbacked No | 79c | 306.78$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…ea7ebacked No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked Yes | 22c | 288$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ea…b02abacked Yes | 29c | 273.38$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…1f15backed Yes | 12c | 271$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 9c | 265.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3d…cdfabacked Yes | 12c | 251$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d2…39f0backed Yes | 12c | 249$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…f5ebbacked Yes | 19c | 249$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 21c | 235.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x427e…5ab4backed Yes | 19c | 234$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed No | 78c | 230$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9498…d950backed Yes | 12c | 219$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 216.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…919dbacked Yes | 60c | 207.54$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 18c | 206.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 39c | 192.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.15 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +19.9wins | +0.24per pick | 23cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 12c | 188.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…e708backed Yes | 31c | 187.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 12c | 180$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…236abacked Yes | 23c | 175$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 18c | 147.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 11c | 144.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 193 | 37.3%72 W · 121 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 19c | 142.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898f…536abacked No | 77c | 129.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked Yes | 8c | 129.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?this page
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?No won
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.