AI · resolved market
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6799452efa6890d96a79229c1a3466882a1c2b1804e1aa5a5f56739fd22a74c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e32…8a33backed Yes | 37c | 2,418$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.1 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…919dbacked Yes | 66c | 2,392$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,250$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed Yes | 12c | 2,155$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.95 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 16c | 2,016$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.52 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yes | 39c | 1,538$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.82 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +46%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…5e6dbacked No | 77c | 1,425$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…a539backed Yes | 57c | 1,406$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.42 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed Yes | 57c | 1,244$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.08 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +5.5wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb73e…975ebacked Yes | 57c | 1,222$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c29…7570backed Yes | 34c | 1,196$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 30c | 1,190$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.52 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 15c | 1,066$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.1 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,061$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…3601backed No | 66c | 1,060$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a41…1160backed No | 63c | 1,050$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 27c | 1,040$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.41 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…b75ebacked Yes | 39c | 959$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.01 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +96%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed No | 63c | 948$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.76 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 37c | 926.95$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.29 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 26c | 918.54$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.98 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +19.9wins | +0.24per pick | 23cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…cd36backed No | 57c | 898$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.14 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…c454backed No | 43c | 894$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.58 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.31per pick | 48cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe005…14fdbacked Yes | 64c | 873.28$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…87bfbacked Yes | 39c | 853$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.67 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed No | 61c | 836$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.04 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…1796backed No | 62c | 836$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…990dbacked Yes | 19c | 825$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed No | 65c | 772.11$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 8c | 750$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…7f61backed Yes | 37c | 735$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.95 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed No | 43c | 725$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.25 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cb…6e8fbacked No | 73c | 688.97$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xded6…81ebbacked No | 79c | 685.15$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…7861backed No | 55c | 682$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.08 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…aff0backed Yes | 13c | 674$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.27 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.30per pick | 31cpaid | +144.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…da43backed No | 55c | 640.33$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.27 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…2238backed Yes | 13c | 633$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b2…9ae2backed Yes | 43c | 622$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.46 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…297bbacked Yes | 13c | 611$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…54c8backed No | 71c | 593.25$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed No | 43c | 546.03$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.24 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…141abacked Yes | 44c | 541$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.04 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed No | 61c | 531$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 12c | 522.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.64 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c9…a644backed No | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed No | 74c | 499.98$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.49 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed Yes | 36c | 484$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.38 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed No | 43c | 480$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…b550backed Yes | 57c | 480$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 32c | 478.28$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.72 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…ac22backed No | 43c | 462$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…0176backed No | 71c | 455$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.86 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x636c…ea28backed No | 56c | 454$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…2cdbbacked Yes | 29c | 452$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf47e…5031backed No | 75c | 448.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…2550backed Yes | 38c | 448$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 15c | 448$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.26 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked No | 71c | 438$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.9 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9e…bd49backed No | 61c | 428$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…0451backed Yes | 29c | 421$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 29c | 415.84$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.46 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked No | 56c | 408$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…095ebacked Yes | 38c | 397$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.86 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…0ab2backed No | 62c | 397$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.86 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2e5abacked Yes | 59c | 396.01$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…3e12backed No | 63c | 393.39$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.55 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…f183backed No | 43c | 372$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +127.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…e025backed No | 56c | 368$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.92 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x291f…6c53backed No | 55c | 363.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…293cbacked No | 61c | 362$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…eb3abacked Yes | 57c | 356$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e8…6f21backed No | 43c | 356$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.92 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.41per pick | 52cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 79c | 354$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.23 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87fd…66bcbacked Yes | 39c | 350$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…0c57backed No | 61c | 350$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed Yes | 57c | 340$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed Yes | 37c | 338$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.06 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed Yes | 25c | 332.53$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…9022backed No | 56c | 321.13$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked No | 63c | 317$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.29 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…6d3cbacked Yes | 37c | 317$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…e8c4backed Yes | 39c | 312$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f5…8e1ebacked No | 43c | 308$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.56 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked No | 60c | 306$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 80c | 300$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d5…1caebacked Yes | 38c | 299$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…5b6bbacked No | 43c | 299$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.43 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 57c | 283$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.31 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…55e4backed No | 43c | 283$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.31 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…9930backed Yes | 43c | 276$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 31c | 271.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.27 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 76c | 268.05$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked No | 62c | 262.72$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked No | 59c | 251$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.91 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed Yes | 41c | 251$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.91 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…ea7ebacked No | 56c | 247.35$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.32 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…7babbacked Yes | 35c | 245$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a79…1ccbbacked No | 65c | 245$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f17…e4a7backed Yes | 53c | 230$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?this page
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?No won
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.