AI · resolved market
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86a503e3386a391e7cd8d04731c0cf5c408da5437395e885f4cf67716f4ebb63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed No | 37c | 2,835$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.05 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…dbb9backed Yes | 79c | 1,662$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.24 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…3601backed No | 33c | 1,556$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cb…6e8fbacked No | 60c | 1,342$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91af…95c8backed Yes | 48c | 1,321$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcabd…3764backed Yes | 48c | 1,312$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 15c | 1,142$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.5 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…703cbacked No | 53c | 1,103$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.28 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…3e12backed Yes | 73c | 1,037$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.52 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…21d7backed Yes | 65c | 958.48$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 67c | 922.4$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.58 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…49f3backed No | 52c | 911$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed Yes | 73c | 877$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.97 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed Yes | 47c | 867$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.91 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed No | 52c | 865$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.26 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…2d50backed No | 35c | 860$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…3c25backed No | 52c | 857$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.07 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x140b…d5c3backed Yes | 60c | 799.98$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7155…d866backed No | 28c | 734$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…3eaabacked No | 30c | 712$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdb…8ffcbacked Yes | 68c | 696.29$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 52c | 663.31$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.68 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed No | 28c | 646$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.88 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x416c…8dcebacked No | 27c | 642$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabeb…7a78backed No | 28c | 596$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.88 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 10c | 565.48$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked Yes | 70c | 539$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c29…7570backed Yes | 52c | 511$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…e929backed Yes | 47c | 499$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked Yes | 72c | 496$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked No | 35c | 491$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.36 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed Yes | 65c | 491$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…bd74backed Yes | 76c | 479$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.96 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3a…ca4cbacked No | 35c | 466$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.1 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed Yes | 65c | 466$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…9357backed No | 27c | 451$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa098…81e4backed Yes | 72c | 445$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa277…1182backed No | 39c | 428.94$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.22 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…0fbdbacked Yes | 52c | 420$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0d…1683backed No | 18c | 417$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed No | 30c | 403.78$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.62 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…d42ebacked No | 38c | 403$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.14 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2e5abacked Yes | 67c | 400$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…a539backed Yes | 62c | 398$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e52…19acbacked No | 37c | 395.81$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 7c | 392.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 74c | 390$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed No | 26c | 390$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…e62fbacked No | 53c | 381$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 13c | 381$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe62…6d76backed Yes | 47c | 381$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed Yes | 69c | 380$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed No | 31c | 380$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x231e…9297backed No | 4c | 365.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…ef17backed No | 21c | 363$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f4…d6debacked Yes | 79c | 363$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.23 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa680…c13fbacked Yes | 73c | 354$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…c7afbacked No | 24c | 349$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48a…fcd2backed Yes | 72c | 348$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e1…1d2ebacked Yes | 43c | 336$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked No | 57c | 336$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.18 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.32per pick | 55cpaid | -67%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 68c | 305$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…ac57backed No | 28c | 305$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes | 72c | 305$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 30c | 300.16$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.19 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…ea7ebacked No | 34c | 300$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc98…62ecbacked Yes | 72c | 282$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 8c | 280.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…bdb2backed Yes | 66c | 280$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…018fbacked No | 48c | 250$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf47e…5031backed Yes | 40c | 247.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.06 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed No | 28c | 244$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…9f86backed Yes | 51c | 230$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…993bbacked No | 16c | 215.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 45c | 204.31$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.86 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…b9c2backed No | 21c | 203.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…ee3ebacked No | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 61c | 200$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 68c | 196.54$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…5e6dbacked No | 33c | 184$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…45cdbacked No | 55c | 182.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4657…00d6backed Yes | 70c | 165$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e32…8a33backed Yes | 73c | 154.9$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c3…74e7backed No | 45c | 152.38$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 23c | 151.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8050…f65cbacked No | 37c | 132.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…f12bbacked No | 50c | 131.55$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…67ccbacked No | 25c | 130$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x774f…8779backed Yes | 50c | 129.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed Yes | 72c | 123$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 43cpaid | +166.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…e8c1backed No | 50c | 119.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed No | 27c | 117$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…4456backed No | 28c | 114$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 53c | 113.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec9…3213backed Yes | 72c | 113$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…f052backed No | 45c | 112.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ae…c197backed No | 25c | 110.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 65c | 107.54$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 137 | 38%52 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?this page
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?No won
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.