TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd08…bd74

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: AI, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category AI at 55 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.66
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$209.25
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$180.63
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$250
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$171.9
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$552.27
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.54
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$93.8
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$458.64
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$114.96
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.08
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$331.8
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$82.8
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+376.2%+$297.04
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+244.8%+$1,050.09
Will "Iran" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.38
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+100%+$24
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+56.3%+$306.72
All 18 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$133.9
Will "Takopi's Original Sin" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.32
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$542.52
Will "Project Hail Mary" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$58.56
Will "Sinners" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.35
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.81
Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+199.4%+$321.68
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.96
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$78.88
Will The Studio win Best Ensemble in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$70.38
Will The Traitors win Best Producer of Game & Competition TV at the 37th PGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$113.49
Will "Hamnet" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$122.67
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$224.75
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$80.3
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$44.11
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$123.58
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$798Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+93.7%+$747.48
Hezbollah strike on Israel by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$76.44
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$214.2
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$424.08
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+143.9%+$90.86
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$149.64
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$47.88
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.81
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$177.82
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+29.9%+$90.39
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$360.68
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+63.9%+$272.22
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 4 be between 60 and 70?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.48
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$29.04
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$175.12
Will there be at least 650 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$185.76
All 11 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+42.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocksbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.61
Central Arkansas Bears vs. North Alabama Lionsbacked North Alabama Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.08
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineersbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.18
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebelsbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+232.2%+$150.29
All 4 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+155.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-52.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+347.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$510.84
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?backed OpenAI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.76
Will Nida Allam be the Democratic Nominee for NC-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+156.4%+$566.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.92
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$149.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,151.64
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$214.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$263.64
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$55.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 16 - 22 be between 16,500,000 and 17,000,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$65.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochibacked Shanghai Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,002.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.