Middle East · resolved market
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa60ef8a034ca2a3bfced1406e7f4a722774eba385352fff3a3191985b0833dc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,660$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 255 | 18%46 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc03…cd5cbacked Yes | 25c | 2,472$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe335…cd12backed Yes | 19c | 2,193$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf5…661dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,710$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.99 | 145 | 20.7%30 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…122cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,523$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked No | 76c | 1,521$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.65 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,383$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,300$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.44 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa098…81e4backed No | 75c | 1,247$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…7bd2backed No | 75c | 1,186$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…0540backed Yes | 17c | 1,145$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec9…b7c0backed Yes | 25c | 1,100$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa783…30d1backed Yes | 7c | 1,046$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3324…b1c9backed Yes | 7c | 1,026$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca7…ef13backed Yes | 7c | 1,003$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6582…a10abacked Yes | 5c | 990$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c08…de39backed Yes | 5c | 990$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 2c | 976.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked No | 75c | 906$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…bd74backed No | 75c | 899$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +17.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafd6…c70dbacked Yes | 6c | 769.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f7…3ac5backed Yes | 6c | 755$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…6e53backed Yes | 25c | 688$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 15c | 675$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Yes | 25c | 662$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3087…f8fbbacked Yes | 25c | 653$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 4c | 633.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 133 | 2.3%3 W · 130 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…1b67backed No | 77c | 559$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91af…95c8backed No | 75c | 551$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 549.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed No | 75c | 549$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked Yes | 23c | 541$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.43 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…3d05backed Yes | 23c | 530$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f6…bb1ebacked No | 77c | 512$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.76 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 6c | 499.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 103 | 9.7%10 W · 93 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 23c | 488.87$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 142 | 27.5%39 W · 103 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52b…5c72backed Yes | 15c | 484.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…865abacked Yes | 11c | 482.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a6…7c90backed Yes | 22c | 458.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 9c | 453.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 18c | 453.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.66 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 9c | 434.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 13c | 400$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 7c | 400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…52d5backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…293ebacked No | 77c | 334.04$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 320.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 12c | 315.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 360 | 35.3%127 W · 233 L | -30.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 13c | 280$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc724…3a19backed Yes | 13c | 274$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 13c | 259.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…d106backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 3cpaid | +1,233.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked Yes | 14c | 247.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 79c | 240.51$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Yes | 13c | 233.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…3dc3backed Yes | 23c | 214.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +406.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…7e38backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…bdaebacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed No | 77c | 199.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…9896backed No | 75c | 198$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf36a…832abacked Yes | 24c | 193.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 16c | 157.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424d…dd88backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c66…3d0bbacked No | 78c | 140.95$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 16c | 127.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…79b3backed Yes | 17c | 126.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 78c | 114.49$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…6f41backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x586e…c8c3backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15d9…6c00backed No | 76c | 102$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9387…6dcbbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f60…b0a4backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b02…ccf1backed Yes | 22c | 92.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 34cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked No | 79c | 67.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…9fc4backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8b…48c8backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a03…80cbbacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 21c | 49.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…3605backed Yes | 23c | 47.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23e…aec3backed No | 75c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d41…246fbacked No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe472…e7ebbacked No | 78c | 21.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a57…1f06backed No | 76c | 14.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98b9…9fb8backed No | 78c | 14.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.14 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 80c | 12.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.54 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.