TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b02…ccf1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Serie A, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 52 out of 100; worst Middle East at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.27per pick34cpaid-82.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.28
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$93.85
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.13
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.09
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.26
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.15
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+68.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+354.5%+$70.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend UFC 327?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.