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World Politics · resolved market

Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$937,308
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$453,340

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $937,308 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb886…81b3backed Yes1c165,562$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.012626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick20cpaid-40.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3659…0451backed Yes0c121,309$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.31360%0 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Yes4c30,084$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.513221.9%7 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-60.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c44…fcd4backed Yes1c18,622$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.231533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes12c18,326$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200.991915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes1c12,823$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.114440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes1c11,422$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.562416.7%4 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick9cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes7c10,729$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.935536.4%20 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes3c10,410$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.925335.8%19 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f95…e7e4backed Yes12c9,869$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes2c9,811$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.325121.6%11 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes4c9,743$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.936219.4%12 W · 50 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick13cpaid-17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes0c9,050$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15326.3%2 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick2cpaid-66.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c8,696$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.911691.8%3 W · 166 L+0.8wins0.00per pick1cpaid-52.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0da9…b527backed Yes3c7,775$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2517…065dbacked Yes0c7,720$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.470%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d01…1645backed Yes3c7,424$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1512029.2%35 W · 85 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+49.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db2…3ce5backed Yes1c7,389$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012227.3%6 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick22cpaid-52.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes2c7,100$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.7892.2%2 W · 87 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-80.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6139…6b7abacked Yes16c6,051$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9525648.2%27 W · 29 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes7c5,865$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.8814425.7%37 W · 107 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb64a…8c63backed Yes5c5,756$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef7…85ecbacked Yes1c5,520$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.231020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-73.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes9c5,178$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.1826240.1%105 W · 157 L+16.8wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes1c5,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes10c4,527$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.383531.4%11 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+57.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…a88dbacked Yes11c4,461$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.09911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-84.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcca9…4c9fbacked Yes5c4,439$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.971723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-64.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9182…3368backed Yes12c4,291$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.24623.9%11 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes17c4,115$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.374334.9%15 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes11c4,046$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.1355334.5%191 W · 362 L-38.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes7c4,022$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26945723.2%106 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ffc…8236backed Yes12c3,800$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4453828.9%11 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8c1…16c0backed Yes1c3,781$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.813633.3%12 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb760…ccd7backed Yes5c3,754$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.964940.8%20 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9457…a6bebacked Yes12c3,588$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.3630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x542a…a81bbacked Yes1c3,497$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.843023.3%7 W · 23 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick8cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x569c…140dbacked Yes16c3,444$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes1c3,187$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.061464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+35.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1104…002abacked Yes9c3,163$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.463135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f71…9c46backed Yes23c3,147$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.541010%1 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick29cpaid-74.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81f0…71edbacked Yes16c3,097$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe43d…f095backed Yes14c2,900$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes6c2,839$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.531384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.6wins+0.35per pick50cpaid+62.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdf6c…eb44backed Yes3c2,557$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.413125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-48.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed Yes17c2,278$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.021435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes15c2,260$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.47861.5%48 W · 30 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c2,222$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.11,43710.2%147 W · 1,290 L-4.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes4c2,170$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.532543.5%9 W · 245 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc1…100ebacked Yes15c2,098$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0e…0b82backed Yes2c2,071$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.151346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes14c2,040$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.4115932.7%52 W · 107 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+102.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1881…f322backed Yes2c2,009$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50110%0 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d4…61dcbacked Yes1c2,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1860%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc29…f1bbbacked Yes1c1,936$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes8c1,744$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.961357.4%10 W · 125 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes17c1,670$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.1746830.1%141 W · 327 L-20.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eac…4f7bbacked Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0063…1740backed Yes14c1,627$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.2430%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc392…511bbacked Yes11c1,500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf84…703cbacked Yes16c1,453$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.95837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-19.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c1…0791backed Yes11c1,400$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.910354.4%56 W · 47 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba5d…d1a1backed Yes8c1,394$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4130%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb424…3b71backed Yes9c1,387$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.531323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5f…957cbacked Yes15c1,348$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes5c1,340$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.32117.1%15 W · 196 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73cc…e708backed Yes5c1,293$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.34650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+75.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2110…5850backed Yes14c1,258$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.932638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf7…fbeabacked Yes12c1,249$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.923551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d73…216bbacked Yes3c1,247$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.53432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x272c…7f07backed Yes2c1,243$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.012227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-44.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2598…60d8backed Yes15c1,226$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a2…96e2backed Yes3c1,164$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Yes6c1,105$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.482748.1%13 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+25%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ef9…7a60backed Yes1c1,100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce08…28bdbacked Yes8c1,098$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.521154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+54.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6268…6031backed Yes7c1,094$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.064511.1%5 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes2c1,066$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1449.1%4 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda66…3f38backed Yes20c1,012$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003336.4%12 W · 21 L-6.6wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-47.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes2c1,009$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.67267.7%2 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-72.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a9c…c336backed Yes14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x589f…b2a8backed Yes6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b75…a2b1backed Yes1c1,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-48%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7b3…ab43backed Yes6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51b6backed Yes10c999.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed Yes18c999.97$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18028434.2%97 W · 187 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17ed…c087backed Yes8c970.28$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.628641.9%36 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes13c968.48$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.93417.6%6 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+42.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes13c930.03$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.967618.4%14 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-49.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed1…6d66backed Yes15c920$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0e…841bbacked Yes2c879.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1650%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9297…7fe9backed Yes12c858.87$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.83714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-65.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8daf…ef60backed Yes16c851.24$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.753243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf710…edc9backed Yes9c825$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.116031.7%19 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc60…af79backed Yes20c763$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.263444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…d649backed Yes2c719$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.26137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-82.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x929a…5ab4backed Yes6c715.55$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.163938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93c4…dca6backed Yes19c700$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.062842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc0f…55f8backed Yes7c675.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d2…4facbacked Yes20c666.66$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13240%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.