Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe955eda79ad9ac1e9c055edc23fb5134eb2ace68508645d261c4de8db921f8fa

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $968,145
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $542,815

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $968,145 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb886…81b3backed Yes	1c	116,549$717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.33	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x542a…a81bbacked Yes	1c	96,799$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.53	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	+4.5wins	+0.15per pick	8cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	0c	42,743$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.83	444	0.7%3 W · 441 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-87.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf95e…7edebacked Yes	20c	42,640$8,528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,528	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe93…7f11backed Yes	20c	33,184$6,637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,636.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	0c	25,425$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.47	169	1.8%3 W · 166 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes	16c	24,065$3,882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,881.9	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf40…004cbacked Yes	19c	20,751$3,849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,849.03	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1104…002abacked Yes	14c	20,607$2,903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,903.31	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Yes	9c	17,398$1,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,497.92	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes	3c	17,281$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.21	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27b…229abacked No	80c	15,067$12,054 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,013.4	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	76cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05cd…86a6backed No	80c	15,000$12,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e05…8c7bbacked No	80c	14,231$11,385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,846.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c1…e6e0backed No	80c	14,000$11,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,800	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f7…3dccbacked No	80c	13,342$10,674 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,668.4	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc185…d1b8backed No	80c	13,342$10,674 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,668.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	78cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes	13c	13,196$1,758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,758.33	262	40.1%105 W · 157 L	+16.8wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	1c	13,175$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.42	89	2.2%2 W · 87 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db2…3ce5backed Yes	1c	13,166$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3659…0451backed Yes	0c	12,308$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.31	36	0%0 W · 36 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47f5…934dbacked Yes	18c	11,087$2,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,015.91	74	20.3%15 W · 59 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes	14c	7,914$1,107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,107.15	139	18%25 W · 114 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2110…5850backed Yes	19c	7,544$1,413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,412.56	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ed…c087backed Yes	16c	7,107$1,163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,162.65	86	41.9%36 W · 50 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-23%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed Yes	20c	6,963$1,379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,378.93	284	34.2%97 W · 187 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8c1…16c0backed Yes	1c	6,144$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes	12c	5,439$639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$638.56	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+102.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac92…9d64backed Yes	8c	5,236$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f7…73bbbacked Yes	7c	5,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+110.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcca9…4c9fbacked Yes	11c	4,731$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0490…c81fbacked Yes	12c	4,544$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.18	143	30.8%44 W · 99 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+104.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb1…85f7backed Yes	22c	4,144$906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$905.86	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1970…398dbacked Yes	18c	3,737$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.62	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe555…a91dbacked Yes	10c	3,700$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.87	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2517…065dbacked Yes	0c	3,429$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9807…6569backed Yes	9c	3,362$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.85	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	12cpaid	+71.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked Yes	5c	3,324$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.2	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	5c	3,151$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.51	254	3.5%9 W · 245 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfacd…9109backed Yes	18c	3,015$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$532.59	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-38%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes	7c	3,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	-18%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	16c	2,590$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.81	553	34.5%191 W · 362 L	-38.2wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c7b…5485backed Yes	22c	2,431$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.39	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+3.0wins	+0.11per pick	30cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b08…7f91backed Yes	20c	2,410$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce71…83bcbacked Yes	9c	2,354$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.84	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	7c	2,325$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.04	167	6.6%11 W · 156 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9182…3368backed Yes	19c	2,316$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.04	46	23.9%11 W · 35 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked No	80c	2,000$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed No	77c	2,000$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+3.1wins	+0.26per pick	49cpaid	+210.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed No	78c	2,000$1,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.99	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d01…1645backed Yes	14c	1,902$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.95	120	29.2%35 W · 85 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+49.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes	9c	1,870$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.24	135	7.4%10 W · 125 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb424…3b71backed Yes	4c	1,844$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.26	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed No	80c	1,814$1,447 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$366.85	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-5.3wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-28%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x395d…ab30backed Yes	1c	1,751$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9297…7fe9backed Yes	12c	1,727$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-65.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc60…af79backed No	76c	1,698$1,286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.76	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes	10c	1,681$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.34	457	23.2%106 W · 351 L	-15.8wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa23e…c2bdbacked Yes	1c	1,605$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.37per pick	13cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ffc…8236backed Yes	12c	1,600$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	7c	1,574$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.89	211	7.1%15 W · 196 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1199…d5f9backed Yes	2c	1,520$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.12	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	1,488$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.02	1,437	10.2%147 W · 1,290 L	-4.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66c1…2c72backed Yes	17c	1,433$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.64	71	23.9%17 W · 54 L	+6.0wins	+0.08per pick	16cpaid	+86.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Yes	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	63	22.2%14 W · 49 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	+84.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes	5c	1,398$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.92	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x993b…dedabacked No	80c	1,332$1,061 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.38	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+3.6wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+188.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x077e…06d2backed Yes	10c	1,300$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e4…1cedbacked No	77c	1,293$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.5	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes	7c	1,280$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.78	135	25.2%34 W · 101 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba6b…554cbacked Yes	19c	1,261$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.29	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+307.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe544…3028backed No	78c	1,200$936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes	16c	1,194$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.89	76	18.4%14 W · 62 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0063…1740backed Yes	20c	1,189$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.64	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b46…e83cbacked Yes	1c	1,132$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4987…99b0backed No	78c	1,100$858 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x535e…6af7backed Yes	10c	1,098$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.79	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	10c	1,091$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.97	187	28.3%53 W · 134 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52c4…2f1cbacked Yes	9c	1,061$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc0f…55f8backed Yes	19c	1,050$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc902…cd14backed Yes	8c	1,028$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.23	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba5d…d1a1backed Yes	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb852…54cdbacked Yes	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0978…3137backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.32per pick	34cpaid	+139.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd07d…441bbacked No	78c	1,000$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+64.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes	21c	999.96$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.99	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-4.5wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x22ec…06efbacked Yes	19c	950$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c1…0791backed Yes	21c	939$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	103	54.4%56 W · 47 L	+6.8wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedb6…77fcbacked No	78c	900$702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…d649backed Yes	4c	863.86$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.52	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	21cpaid	-82.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes	26c	855.41$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.96	85	55.3%47 W · 38 L	+6.6wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5a0…bf71backed Yes	9c	833.33$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd216…044cbacked Yes	22c	819.19$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a4…c8a2backed Yes	20c	815.58$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.77	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db5…0aa7backed No	78c	800$624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…614dbacked Yes	9c	800$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+51.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa883…31fbbacked Yes	16c	799.71$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.12	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes	2c	711.18$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.15	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-72.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	79c	710$559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.24	367	42.5%156 W · 211 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81d1…4e30backed Yes	18c	700$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	69	42%29 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event