Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e329c0e729c96b40014938bc0cb63c1637995c571c7ba39bab72028e92525da

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $738,263
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $407,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $738,263 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb886…81b3backed Yes	0c	111,900$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.99	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf58…d90dbacked Yes	8c	38,656$2,982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,981.79	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e53…8d51backed Yes	0c	25,313$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3659…0451backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	36	0%0 W · 36 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	1c	24,605$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.6	444	0.7%3 W · 441 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-87.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff4e…5502backed Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	16	0%0 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8936…1ee1backed Yes	1c	14,239$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1104…002abacked Yes	12c	13,906$1,726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,726.27	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes	2c	12,052$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.51	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes	0c	11,171$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.34	46	0%0 W · 46 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x542a…a81bbacked Yes	0c	10,104$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.21	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	+4.5wins	+0.15per pick	8cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6cf9…9d9fbacked Yes	14c	10,000$1,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,386.07	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes	9c	9,760$855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$855.03	261	39.8%104 W · 157 L	+16.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	1c	9,300$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.4	89	2.2%2 W · 87 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x907d…20c4backed Yes	0c	7,909$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	41	0%0 W · 41 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc17…289abacked Yes	2c	7,677$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.71	54	37%20 W · 34 L	+5.2wins	+0.10per pick	27cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	7,420$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.51	169	1.8%3 W · 166 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Yes	5c	6,345$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.37	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1970…398dbacked Yes	6c	5,944$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcca9…4c9fbacked Yes	5c	5,578$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.76	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	5,506$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.15	1,431	10.1%145 W · 1,286 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57ee…e231backed Yes	12c	5,455$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.99	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-55.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x251a…5508backed Yes	9c	4,398$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.73	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	5c	4,160$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.65	254	3.5%9 W · 245 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2110…5850backed Yes	11c	4,095$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.4	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f80…fa5cbacked Yes	6c	3,262$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.58	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes	11c	3,147$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355	53	13.2%7 W · 46 L	-8.5wins	-0.16per pick	29cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe108…04f2backed Yes	7c	3,102$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.73	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93ed…c19abacked Yes	7c	2,961$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e47…919dbacked Yes	6c	2,804$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf690…e0e8backed Yes	7c	2,657$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes	11c	2,562$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.25	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+102.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeefd…902fbacked Yes	7c	2,156$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.61	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes	1c	2,155$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.49	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-72.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x287e…919abacked Yes	10c	2,135$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.49	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.28per pick	6cpaid	+693.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Yes	6c	2,108$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.51	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+4.0wins	+0.15per pick	33cpaid	+25%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes	7c	2,094$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.62	135	7.4%10 W · 125 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbb…880bbacked Yes	7c	2,065$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd073…b757backed Yes	11c	2,058$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.79	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	6c	2,004$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.39	211	7.1%15 W · 196 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05b4…97dcbacked Yes	7c	1,976$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…a88dbacked Yes	11c	1,961$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.01	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	24cpaid	-84.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes	13c	1,927$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.54	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59e7…f540backed Yes	10c	1,918$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Yes	8c	1,889$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe2c…0828backed Yes	7c	1,791$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.79	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02f0…d710backed Yes	6c	1,766$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.28	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f6…01a9backed Yes	10c	1,715$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x376c…730abacked Yes	10c	1,661$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.74	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba6b…554cbacked Yes	11c	1,661$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.27	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+307.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35c3…3d63backed Yes	12c	1,582$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.68	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3f44…382dbacked Yes	7c	1,534$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.31	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ebf…5bfabacked Yes	7c	1,524$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-34%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x230d…b468backed Yes	10c	1,427$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.41	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.43per pick	7cpaid	+1,431.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes	6c	1,412$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.71	139	18%25 W · 114 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes	8c	1,409$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.77	76	18.4%14 W · 62 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0a…8911backed Yes	7c	1,406$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.61	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a53…4e80backed Yes	11c	1,404$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.13	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcab…2392backed Yes	7c	1,389$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8964…0becbacked Yes	8c	1,326$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.87	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81d1…4e30backed Yes	6c	1,314$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.43	69	42%29 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb760…ccd7backed Yes	11c	1,307$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.51	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…df38backed Yes	16c	1,300$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec0b…98e0backed Yes	10c	1,254$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.42	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1199…d5f9backed Yes	1c	1,253$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.02	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe868…fd22backed Yes	7c	1,222$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ffc…8236backed Yes	6c	1,200$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.4	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d01…1645backed Yes	15c	1,192$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.58	120	29.2%35 W · 85 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+49.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40c4…adbebacked Yes	6c	1,188$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.47	8	25%2 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	10c	1,151$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.28	241	10.8%26 W · 215 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-34%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa03…2927backed Yes	9c	1,146$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5618…190dbacked Yes	22c	1,134$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+35%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81bd…928bbacked Yes	5c	1,130$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.85	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x272c…7f07backed Yes	1c	1,128$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.58	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf82a…d221backed Yes	6c	1,088$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.17	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	+46.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb597…ec76backed Yes	9c	1,066$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed Yes	10c	1,050$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.7	284	34.2%97 W · 187 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ed…0055backed Yes	9c	1,029$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.47	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8d8…66a7backed Yes	9c	1,000$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.99	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb968…b7efbacked Yes	4c	955.32$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes	6c	903.84$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.34	47	21.3%10 W · 37 L	+4.4wins	+0.09per pick	12cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	5c	900$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.3	186	28.5%53 W · 133 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	7c	882.87$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.87	234	4.3%10 W · 224 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a16…6291backed Yes	7c	826$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fd…8bc3backed Yes	23c	800$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.4	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2471…7709backed Yes	13c	800$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a6f…5791backed Yes	19c	794.19$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38a8…865abacked Yes	14c	791.47$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.84	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4961…3adfbacked Yes	13c	785.72$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e9f…1d38backed Yes	10c	740.02$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.98	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.25per pick	41cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes	21c	674.28$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.8	85	55.3%47 W · 38 L	+6.6wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9319…4407backed Yes	13c	670$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8346…ddbcbacked Yes	14c	670$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6662…3503backed Yes	9c	663.66$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.92	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	3c	651.73$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.16	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-74%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb2…a893backed Yes	11c	647.18$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.92	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0242…9076backed Yes	14c	635$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.73	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc465…31b9backed Yes	13c	635$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.09	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9232…d5c6backed Yes	12c	620$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x78da…f6c4backed Yes	6c	614.91$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.95	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event