World Politics · resolved market
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ca95f6c38e50e158279df39b2f30dbd005edc94ee64c6e4f50912e40bd16b5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,379,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $798,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,379,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45d7…de2ebacked Yes | 0c | 97,391$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 1c | 96,822$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.78 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e28…af8abacked Yes | 1c | 74,077$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d5…fba3backed Yes | 8c | 58,893$4,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,676.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 50,513$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.59 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1199…d5f9backed Yes | 2c | 46,699$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.42 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 3c | 25,303$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.97 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed Yes | 0c | 25,287$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Yes | 1c | 19,321$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.24 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 17,341$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.45 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Yes | 1c | 17,309$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…5502backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 1c | 13,202$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.89 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 13,000$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…3a86backed Yes | 1c | 12,387$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.56 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff5…655bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,901$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…1325backed Yes | 1c | 8,476$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,068$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…c57dbacked Yes | 8c | 6,050$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b41cbacked Yes | 9c | 6,050$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1881…f322backed Yes | 1c | 5,971$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 4c | 5,352$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.4 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 5,277$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.12 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…4b4cbacked Yes | 9c | 5,063$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7e09backed Yes | 3c | 4,631$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…9f9fbacked Yes | 0c | 4,060$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882b…ddb8backed Yes | 9c | 4,045$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 6c | 3,937$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.16 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…2f9fbacked Yes | 4c | 3,900$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.61 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bf…1c9abacked Yes | 1c | 3,873$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…49b1backed Yes | 9c | 3,795$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,753$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 2c | 3,637$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.05 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed Yes | 2c | 3,625$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…ce36backed Yes | 0c | 3,532$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ea…57e8backed Yes | 9c | 3,521$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 3,385$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.08 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628a…2971backed Yes | 9c | 3,323$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb0…deaabacked Yes | 4c | 3,144$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f11…2efbbacked Yes | 9c | 3,143$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…a894backed Yes | 1c | 3,129$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…6857backed Yes | 9c | 2,983$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccb…8b99backed Yes | 1c | 2,903$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bae…b43cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,842$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed Yes | 4c | 2,840$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…2499backed Yes | 9c | 2,694$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…56d4backed Yes | 9c | 2,676$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…b4bcbacked Yes | 9c | 2,664$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…12c0backed Yes | 9c | 2,612$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…54e9backed Yes | 9c | 2,570$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…e8a8backed Yes | 9c | 2,533$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…20f6backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed9b…ba1cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,488$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac2…64f9backed Yes | 9c | 2,441$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d11…855bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,412$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d1…c910backed Yes | 9c | 2,358$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fe…26c5backed Yes | 9c | 2,301$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 2,190$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dff…7f3fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,174$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 8cpaid | +212.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0c…217cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,169$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +517.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x760f…ccfcbacked Yes | 9c | 2,151$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…1e88backed Yes | 9c | 2,095$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…a1cdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,091$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x003a…0f69backed Yes | 9c | 2,065$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ce…76c7backed Yes | 9c | 2,054$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc1…100ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,026$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a5…7d8dbacked Yes | 9c | 2,016$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4d…3ab8backed Yes | 9c | 1,973$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6493…a2e0backed Yes | 9c | 1,919$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…f7c9backed Yes | 9c | 1,906$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf400…83adbacked Yes | 9c | 1,906$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +1,161.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…488bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,891$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd299…b988backed Yes | 9c | 1,876$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +410.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,867$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8b…0630backed Yes | 9c | 1,818$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4928…1310backed Yes | 9c | 1,808$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f5…ba3dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,799$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f0…cf9ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,788$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…51debacked Yes | 9c | 1,783$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae72…7a52backed Yes | 9c | 1,764$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +363%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…a178backed Yes | 9c | 1,747$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +517.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…10febacked Yes | 9c | 1,743$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 3c | 1,729$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +15.2wins | +0.28per pick | 31cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d0…3802backed Yes | 9c | 1,727$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +1,119.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes | 1c | 1,709$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d1…9a21backed Yes | 9c | 1,652$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…8394backed Yes | 9c | 1,650$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b01…01dcbacked Yes | 9c | 1,642$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…8864backed Yes | 9c | 1,610$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2074…fe64backed Yes | 9c | 1,596$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…e0c3backed Yes | 9c | 1,590$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…2d5fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,555$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…d4e9backed Yes | 9c | 1,552$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b8…459fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,519$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,498$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…ae27backed Yes | 9c | 1,491$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c6…eaefbacked Yes | 9c | 1,478$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…201ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,457$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +363%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?this page
- Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes won
- Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.