World Politics · resolved market
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74e5ba38a2cb8332c748ef8c74cadc36dc91f406a1a48870aca409c6449b03f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $636,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $394,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $636,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 42,127$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 41 | 0%0 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…0451backed Yes | 0c | 25,653$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 21,717$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc8…fa97backed Yes | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…df95backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked Yes | 0c | 19,651$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…5502backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d7…c9e1backed Yes | 0c | 12,029$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b17…6adbbacked Yes | 0c | 12,029$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a35…7868backed Yes | 0c | 11,890$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…8171backed Yes | 0c | 11,829$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f54…7f79backed Yes | 0c | 11,775$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…4908backed Yes | 0c | 11,555$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0873…09e8backed Yes | 0c | 10,332$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…1645backed Yes | 0c | 8,497$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…60c9backed Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…3a86backed Yes | 0c | 5,943$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c9…0670backed Yes | 1c | 5,521$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 5,400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…51febacked Yes | 1c | 3,593$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 3c | 3,531$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,506$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,233$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 3,213$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c8…315abacked Yes | 1c | 2,926$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 2c | 2,926$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +15.2wins | +0.28per pick | 31cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa883…31fbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,752$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06b…8d48backed Yes | 1c | 2,545$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,422$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dff…7f3fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,242$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 8cpaid | +212.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked Yes | 1c | 2,026$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f8…8e61backed Yes | 1c | 1,970$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +363%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 1,896$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…3ad7backed Yes | 1c | 1,866$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2602…8e9dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,716$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…5e13backed Yes | 1c | 1,698$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d6…58f0backed Yes | 1c | 1,694$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…fe57backed Yes | 3c | 1,677$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 2c | 1,663$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67f…0020backed Yes | 1c | 1,396$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 4c | 1,337$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd796…7f23backed Yes | 1c | 1,294$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a0…5ae4backed Yes | 1c | 1,291$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,232$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…d663backed Yes | 1c | 1,126$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd524…2accbacked Yes | 2c | 1,100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 1,012$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e5…5b32backed Yes | 1c | 885$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 3c | 797.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 3c | 774.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 80 | 3.8%3 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 2c | 637.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 115 | 2.6%3 W · 112 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 2c | 554.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…d87fbacked Yes | 3c | 434.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?this page
- Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes won
- Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.