World Politics · resolved market
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf365e4c2d0ed67ffb8263cac97570e02664099fd25d1a8bd201e53dc883d86f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,141,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $736,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,141,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c75…6094backed Yes | 0c | 75,127$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5a…7c39backed Yes | 0c | 70,887$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…0451backed Yes | 0c | 54,076$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Yes | 1c | 40,703$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 30,482$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.15 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Yes | 1c | 20,818$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 0c | 20,144$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…5502backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0960backed Yes | 0c | 13,900$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0873…09e8backed Yes | 0c | 13,441$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…3a86backed Yes | 0c | 12,702$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…534abacked Yes | 0c | 11,982$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes | 0c | 11,487$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd0…e143backed Yes | 1c | 11,439$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c03…f600backed Yes | 0c | 11,060$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7589…4789backed Yes | 3c | 9,475$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 1c | 9,093$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 8,723$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 1c | 8,348$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…4907backed Yes | 7c | 6,600$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0786…3582backed Yes | 8c | 5,509$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 5,229$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb0…deaabacked Yes | 0c | 5,165$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…c76dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,035$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…f029backed Yes | 7c | 5,004$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf368…873abacked Yes | 6c | 5,000$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 6c | 4,877$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…8194backed Yes | 4c | 4,842$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 4c | 4,725$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.55 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…baf6backed Yes | 8c | 4,446$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…e231backed Yes | 0c | 4,415$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad9…bd65backed Yes | 0c | 4,387$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bf…1c9abacked Yes | 0c | 4,213$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…27e4backed Yes | 5c | 4,091$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 4,050$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 0c | 3,590$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -74%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d89…cb0cbacked Yes | 5c | 3,527$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f4…bba6backed Yes | 5c | 3,480$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023f…6d32backed Yes | 5c | 3,343$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…8fa5backed Yes | 7c | 3,335$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 3,024$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.37 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…0bb1backed Yes | 5c | 2,998$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,836$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c9…0877backed Yes | 5c | 2,800$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a7…624cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,752$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e39…0f1cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,747$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…435ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,700$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6095…db53backed Yes | 5c | 2,668$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…ea7bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,627$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2d…b24fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,602$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f9…1e9ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,571$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 2,545$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.84 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cd…258ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,490$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677c…1da5backed Yes | 5c | 2,461$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 2c | 2,444$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 2,438$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…da9abacked Yes | 6c | 2,400$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…6b2bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,357$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8656…7fd9backed Yes | 5c | 2,309$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bf…6a05backed Yes | 5c | 2,304$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa63d…cbc2backed Yes | 5c | 2,291$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…2966backed Yes | 5c | 2,259$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 2,239$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…eed5backed Yes | 3c | 2,200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd528…ecb7backed Yes | 6c | 2,186$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b14…3e42backed Yes | 1c | 2,185$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x382b…7769backed Yes | 5c | 2,177$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…a493backed Yes | 5c | 2,163$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9526…43dcbacked Yes | 5c | 2,123$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd3…355ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,114$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae3…5c8abacked Yes | 5c | 2,109$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5225…ae99backed Yes | 7c | 2,102$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…86c7backed Yes | 5c | 2,087$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71d4…9b22backed Yes | 5c | 2,080$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…f437backed Yes | 5c | 2,062$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0d…80b5backed Yes | 5c | 2,026$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…5c56backed Yes | 7c | 2,016$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b1…8c7ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,001$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1d…bba6backed Yes | 5c | 1,973$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e27…76ebbacked Yes | 5c | 1,908$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…2bc8backed Yes | 5c | 1,876$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab1…b84bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,819$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 6c | 1,813$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 4c | 1,785$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.63 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…cababacked Yes | 6c | 1,715$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f87…0901backed Yes | 5c | 1,710$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x492a…1754backed Yes | 5c | 1,700$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167e…8af3backed Yes | 5c | 1,611$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec0…798bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,566$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4491…5fb1backed Yes | 5c | 1,560$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +624.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac5…30bebacked Yes | 6c | 1,552$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b27…80f2backed Yes | 5c | 1,504$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…fbb0backed Yes | 5c | 1,495$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5b…717abacked Yes | 5c | 1,471$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,463$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e59…a24abacked Yes | 5c | 1,459$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…0693backed Yes | 5c | 1,428$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…1e9bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,425$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e04…7cbdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,385$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?this page
- Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes won
- Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.