TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9359…4907

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Predators vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+56.3%+$36
Panthers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$38
Red Wings vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Devils vs. Sharksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Rangers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Canucks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Penguins vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$61
Blackhawks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$34
Flames vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$38
Islanders vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$32
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Predators vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$41
Utah vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Golden Knights vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$78
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST1283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$24
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32
Jazz vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21
Heat vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$32
Warriors vs. Bucksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$42
Rockets vs. Raptorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$33
Pacers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$45
Hornets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$64
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$74
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$699.93
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$58
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+43.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+92.3%+$48
Ravens vs. Dolphinsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$21
49ers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$44
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Will Club León FC win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$62
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+112.8%+$158.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 303: Who will win - Brian Ortega vs. Diego Lopes?backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.