South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club León FC win on 2025-10-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70ad83f1305113f22b1d16738ae010f8cbf2f6f0193a90585417a62946f07357
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 35c | 35,000$12,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,248.63 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 65c | 33,792$21,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,827.2 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 3,204$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.22 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed Yes | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 67c | 1,028$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.24 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ff…9182backed Yes | 35c | 1,020$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 31c | 1,012$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.72 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +1,597%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Yes | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 28c | 347.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.58 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea92…df72backed No | 65c | 245$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 218.26$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.83 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74de…72e8backed No | 65c | 170$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…c494backed No | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…2b85backed No | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…d45bbacked No | 65c | 155$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 75c | 154.47$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…451dbacked Yes | 76c | 132.78$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…e8e9backed No | 65c | 130$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 31c | 122.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…4907backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked No | 71c | 94.37$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 71c | 73.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e52…5f65backed Yes | 29c | 73.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 66c | 66.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…2bccbacked No | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 36c | 32.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23b…4957backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club León FC win on 2025-10-25?this page
- Will Club León FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2025-10-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.