Tennis · resolved market
Pan Pacific Open: Belinda Bencic vs Linda Noskova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f60729d15602bce682984276d2d80ffb402916597dae120fcb66f36c8d85407
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bencicof Bencic, Noskova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Bencic | 45c | 13,399$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,398.67 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Noskova | 58c | 9,300$5,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,354 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Noskova | 26c | 5,856$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.32 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Noskova | 44c | 5,128$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.4 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8a9fbacked Noskova | 61c | 3,943$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Bencic | 44c | 3,615$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Noskova | 49c | 2,587$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.76 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Bencic | 47c | 1,879$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.31 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Noskova | 53c | 1,442$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.54 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Noskova | 43c | 1,421$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.13 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bencic | 75c | 1,313$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.75 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Noskova | 20c | 1,100$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…f211backed Bencic | 47c | 1,089$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.55 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Noskova | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 177 | 41.8%74 W · 103 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…ab80backed Noskova | 19c | 999.53$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.91 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Noskova | 22c | 850$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.5 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Noskova | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Bencic | 73c | 572.03$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bencic | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffaa…7fd4backed Noskova | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9494…308abacked Bencic | 46c | 409.74$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.26 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Noskova | 36c | 400$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Noskova | 22c | 347.41$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.53 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bencic | 41c | 345.77$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Noskova | 24c | 229.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Bencic | 50c | 202$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044c…2719backed Bencic | 75c | 184.64$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Noskova | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Noskova | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bencic | 42c | 169$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Noskova | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Noskova | 35c | 142.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c63…a2f9backed Bencic | 75c | 103.8$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Noskova | 61c | 103.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Noskova | 58c | 102.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…7657backed Bencic | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…4907backed Noskova | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67b…4a7abacked Noskova | 60c | 98.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Noskova | 54c | 76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Noskova | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…009bbacked Bencic | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Bencic | 49c | 55.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd1…8f31backed Noskova | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Bencic | 45c | 44.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Bencic | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Bencic | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…e758backed Bencic | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e2…9710backed Noskova | 34c | 34.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1317…00e8backed Bencic | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x515a…561fbacked Noskova | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…d64fbacked Bencic | 74c | 28.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…8c05backed Noskova | 65c | 22.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Noskova | 59c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc4…e092backed Bencic | 77c | 15.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.