College Football · resolved market
San Diego State vs. Hawaii
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c608fd7cd6f8e7a91b6aaf3cecad4116b2e64c49281b86c2bb05679f68e92fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawaiiof San Diego State, Hawaii
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a69…a466backed San Diego State | 71c | 21,160$15,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Hawaii | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed San Diego State | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,899.93 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hawaii | 29c | 9,741$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,916.04 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed San Diego State | 13c | 9,080$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.85 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed San Diego State | 19c | 6,882$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.71 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawaii | 29c | 5,430$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,853.09 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked San Diego State | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Hawaii | 48c | 2,704$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.77 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked San Diego State | 4c | 2,656$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.63 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Hawaii | 30c | 2,559$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.29 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Hawaii | 30c | 2,005$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.85 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e5…d41fbacked Hawaii | 29c | 1,850$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.5 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed San Diego State | 70c | 1,837$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.96 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Hawaii | 30c | 1,800$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.55 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Hawaii | 29c | 1,700$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.98 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed San Diego State | 8c | 1,457$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Hawaii | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed San Diego State | 70c | 1,156$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0a…d070backed Hawaii | 53c | 1,142$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ad…e1e5backed Hawaii | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5216…fe0bbacked San Diego State | 69c | 999.99$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3a…9ec0backed San Diego State | 11c | 947.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +420.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawaii | 30c | 663.22$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.25 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…b170backed San Diego State | 46c | 493$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed San Diego State | 59c | 491.33$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hawaii | 47c | 458$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.85 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8343…5be0backed Hawaii | 30c | 420.43$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +148.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked San Diego State | 71c | 357$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.02 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Hawaii | 30c | 325.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.77 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked San Diego State | 59c | 290.98$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.51 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Hawaii | 31c | 290$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed San Diego State | 69c | 289.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.93 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed San Diego State | 5c | 254$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Hawaii | 31c | 250$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fee…2e31backed San Diego State | 70c | 245.71$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe6…c805backed Hawaii | 31c | 245$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed San Diego State | 22c | 233.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x982c…5419backed Hawaii | 72c | 230.95$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Hawaii | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Hawaii | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked San Diego State | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Hawaii | 31c | 200$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Hawaii | 31c | 200$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Hawaii | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked San Diego State | 68c | 196.69$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.59 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hawaii | 62c | 195.3$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.68 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Hawaii | 30c | 186.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.66 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Hawaii | 31c | 173.48$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Hawaii | 30c | 167$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.9 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked San Diego State | 70c | 154.29$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Hawaii | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…1a68backed Hawaii | 78c | 141.38$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed San Diego State | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Hawaii | 60c | 106.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Hawaii | 30c | 103.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Hawaii | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1822…0e6abacked Hawaii | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…4907backed Hawaii | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Hawaii | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed San Diego State | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked San Diego State | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed San Diego State | 67c | 82.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Hawaii | 29c | 75.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked San Diego State | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Hawaii | 29c | 69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego State | 49c | 68.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…99aebacked Hawaii | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…a269backed Hawaii | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed San Diego State | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Hawaii | 31c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Hawaii | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…274ebacked Hawaii | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…5797backed Hawaii | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +144.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked San Diego State | 70c | 39.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Hawaii | 31c | 36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…923bbacked San Diego State | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…dd40backed San Diego State | 43c | 29.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed San Diego State | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…9e73backed San Diego State | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked San Diego State | 70c | 26.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed San Diego State | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a07…1824backed San Diego State | 71c | 19.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…7abcbacked San Diego State | 71c | 19.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked San Diego State | 69c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego State vs. Hawaiithis page
- O/U 50.5Under won
- San Diego State vs. Hawaii: 1H MoneylineHawaii won
- San Diego State vs. Hawaii: O/U 49.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego State (-6.5)Hawaii won
- Spread: San Diego State (-7.5)Hawaii won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.