NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6c495f776ac75b109f381c38dd2eec2a8a8de1a46caf9e91cfc7a82b8dc7a71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Bulls, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $773,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $789,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $773,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 757 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Magic | 68c | 57,374$38,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,829.19 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Magic | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,500 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bulls | 41c | 37,382$15,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,238.9 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Bulls | 32c | 31,288$9,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,338.86 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Magic | 47c | 27,417$12,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,922.59 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc63…ded0backed Magic | 69c | 25,926$17,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,888.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Bulls | 31c | 24,019$7,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,573.09 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5787…7660backed Bulls | 33c | 22,955$7,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,379.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bulls | 32c | 20,217$6,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,740.18 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Bulls | 59c | 18,732$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,731.75 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Bulls | 32c | 16,370$5,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,141.86 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…3fa8backed Bulls | 50c | 15,616$7,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,808 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…103ebacked Magic | 50c | 15,616$7,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,808 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…80f3backed Magic | 50c | 15,488$7,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,744 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9724…150ebacked Bulls | 50c | 15,488$7,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,744 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc610…707abacked Bulls | 50c | 15,277$7,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,638.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 28cpaid | +1,408.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8de…6d98backed Magic | 50c | 15,277$7,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,638.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a56…6bbbbacked Magic | 50c | 15,128$7,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,564 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480c…d2e6backed Bulls | 50c | 15,128$7,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,564 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Magic | 59c | 14,248$8,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,383.7 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Magic | 69c | 13,197$9,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,105.63 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c6…4722backed Bulls | 33c | 10,881$3,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,290.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Magic | 69c | 10,704$7,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,433.95 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Bulls | 32c | 10,353$3,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,038.73 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 1c | 9,263$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.63 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042f…764dbacked Bulls | 33c | 9,250$3,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,203.13 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5826…b3cbbacked Magic | 68c | 8,753$5,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,981.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc44…7269backed Magic | 68c | 8,741$5,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,944 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Bulls | 63c | 8,612$5,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.5 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bulls | 31c | 8,500$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,865 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…2280backed Magic | 69c | 7,777$5,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,366.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Magic | 38c | 7,337$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823.03 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Bulls | 36c | 7,150$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,586.17 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Bulls | 35c | 6,073$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,940.73 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bulls | 43c | 5,671$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.15 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Magic | 68c | 5,249$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Bulls | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Bulls | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.97 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Bulls | 31c | 4,817$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,322.82 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Magic | 40c | 4,664$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.12 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Bulls | 30c | 4,341$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.61 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Magic | 16c | 4,251$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.47 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8a9fbacked Bulls | 72c | 4,195$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.28 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Bulls | 33c | 3,846$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.7 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Bulls | 32c | 3,750$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Bulls | 67c | 3,714$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.07 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 67c | 3,701$2,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.57 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…e803backed Magic | 18c | 3,219$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.27 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Bulls | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.99 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 47c | 2,948$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c1…189bbacked Magic | 69c | 2,855$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Magic | 30c | 2,355$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.58 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Bulls | 31c | 2,166$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.52 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 32c | 2,100$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Magic | 67c | 2,093$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.5 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Bulls | 45c | 2,038$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.42 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Bulls | 31c | 2,000$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.03 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f17…6b7cbacked Magic | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Magic | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Magic | 31c | 2,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3f…cc08backed Bulls | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic | 15c | 1,938$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.56 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…3617backed Bulls | 63c | 1,865$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Magic | 24c | 1,666$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Magic | 49c | 1,639$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Bulls | 32c | 1,600$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Bulls | 32c | 1,600$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Bulls | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.5 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Bulls | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.5 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Magic | 68c | 1,511$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.75 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…1157backed Bulls | 32c | 1,483$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…01b0backed Magic | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Bulls | 48c | 1,409$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.83 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6d…400cbacked Bulls | 32c | 1,400$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.87 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Bulls | 33c | 1,383$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.58 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Magic | 67c | 1,288$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.94 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Bulls | 34c | 1,250$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Bulls | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.12 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…2e08backed Bulls | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.12 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Magic | 48c | 1,025$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.23 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4987…804bbacked Bulls | 59c | 1,009$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.24 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Magic | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24cf…9156backed Bulls | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Bulls | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6252…495dbacked Magic | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Bulls | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Bulls | 32c | 999.98$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…331cbacked Magic | 67c | 999.94$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.96 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Magic | 67c | 999.91$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.94 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Magic | 36c | 964.31$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.15 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bulls | 33c | 950$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.5 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bulls | 31c | 946$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.86 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…660fbacked Bulls | 32c | 911.53$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Magic | 1c | 900$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Magic | 68c | 882.35$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…bc70backed Bulls | 35c | 853.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.04 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Magic | 67c | 774$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.58 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…3801backed Magic | 38c | 749.98$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Bulls | 46c | 739.82$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.8 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab89…aa9bbacked Magic | 69c | 735.2$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Magicthis page
- Bulls vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Magic: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Magic: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.