TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon Men's?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,506
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,506 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x991b…89dabacked Yes45c28,906$13,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,060.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c47…2826backed Yes41c17,482$7,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,172.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5095…c97cbacked Yes41c12,400$5,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,083.994040%16 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f47…af93backed No62c11,309$7,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,297.321533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-45.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked No56c9,609$5,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,227.891060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x364c…b541backed Yes45c9,364$4,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,210.3930%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a12…01cebacked No54c8,936$4,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,110.452245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a5f…ce01backed Yes39c3,866$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.831060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab4c…2a53backed Yes42c3,475$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.663737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe95e…61f2backed No61c2,640$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.293138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb878…2f2abacked Yes45c2,283$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+68.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed No57c1,750$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.364955.1%27 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No58c1,588$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.24837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-31.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43ca…0a6ebacked No65c1,423$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9052…87ecbacked Yes36c1,371$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde77…65d2backed Yes42c1,184$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-60.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Yes42c1,150$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9359…4907backed Yes37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Yes41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-63.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed No56c953.99$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.894944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes44c661.9$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.4681938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes43c574.76$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.155429.6%16 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6410…64a3backed Yes17c560$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed No63c481.66$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.21944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a4…cdb7backed Yes14c477.71$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No56c476.27$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.322532%8 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No78c467.96$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.955438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8512…504abacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed No63c454.05$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.942045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Yes35c404.73$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.91822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacca…0cdbbacked Yes8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes34c349.3$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.482420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-42.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Yes44c331.72$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1472,33946.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe391…eea1backed Yes45c304$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6917647.2%83 W · 93 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabce…17b6backed Yes21c278.47$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b2…7c74backed Yes19c266.37$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93d0…0c2ebacked Yes43c241.32$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-69.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f33…5706backed Yes9c235.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Yes45c223.91$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10140%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2365…8eb9backed Yes37c212.75$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc3e…ee8fbacked No74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+99.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8155…5377backed Yes27c197$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbae4…c085backed Yes33c172.22$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd74e…045dbacked Yes21c155.8$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f77…c352backed Yes41c150.24$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba7…c0edbacked Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-36.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x24d5…7ca9backed Yes12c146.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes34c146$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca69…0609backed No59c142.33$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.02825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b10…a38abacked Yes36c140.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e73…a236backed Yes42c130.72$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.482441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cb…b857backed No62c128.7$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.712744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x789e…61bdbacked Yes45c126$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+60.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x703c…e334backed Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae32…fd16backed Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9429…be6dbacked Yes19c110$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8259…bd18backed Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed No62c107$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.533050%15 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x893e…a75bbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a5…b734backed No56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade0…dbacbacked Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-71%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb60…56f8backed Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.04425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8d…2921backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97d8…0cbabacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x705f…e07dbacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa29b…a0b8backed Yes45c95.61$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.02966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8cf…95abbacked Yes19c94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa117…1aa9backed Yes36c89.56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.24520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed No59c87.72$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.776136.1%22 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bc4…e096backed Yes43c81.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5018…58cebacked Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf31d…eca9backed No69c80.65$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5a6…f334backed Yes45c80$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8976…b2a7backed Yes46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x226a…c050backed Yes46c76.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57d…c251backed Yes37c75.81$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3188…c8e6backed Yes21c75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65f2…b488backed Yes39c63.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.981127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-43.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4226…eb62backed Yes45c60.18$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0d…c3fbbacked Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6e…b172backed Yes18c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51540%6 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef48…1ae7backed Yes45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9e…436ebacked Yes24c55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6974…7ce0backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6046…b1d1backed Yes24c53.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Yes44c53.57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.574348.8%21 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ca2…c2ccbacked No56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0bf…5d96backed Yes34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ef…4d98backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7941…c675backed Yes38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x464e…7bd8backed Yes42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick26cpaid-75.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes29c45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5571…0ee7backed Yes45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x878c…2e6bbacked Yes38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7012…14a4backed Yes43c39.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…47afbacked Yes45c34.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc59…2491backed Yes47c29.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c8f…211abacked No59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.