Tennis · resolved market
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon Men's?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5048e2becd0687361a1bd17a1936d0dc0a80af126f920507923053831d82419c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 64c | 3,375$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.93 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 607 | 53.7%326 W · 281 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 65c | 1,026$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.11 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 67c | 998.01$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.38 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 67c | 680.64$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes | 35c | 658.66$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.53 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186f…62cebacked Yes | 32c | 605.58$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 35c | 605$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.75 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 66c | 545.82$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.16 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 64c | 304.39$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.58 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 65c | 281.11$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…65d2backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca69…0609backed Yes | 31c | 201.36$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 38c | 171.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…8ba9backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a1…8d1cbacked Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 650 | 40%260 W · 390 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…4e1ebacked Yes | 32c | 134.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 66c | 111.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 74c | 103.66$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…dbacbacked Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1a…57c8backed Yes | 35c | 57.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a4…cdb7backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe219…2fdfbacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…502ebacked No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed No | 69c | 33.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…00d8backed Yes | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…d93fbacked No | 70c | 24.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…98f4backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…4d83backed No | 75c | 19.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…7ce4backed No | 64c | 18.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a8…8b0abacked No | 67c | 16.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon Men's?this page
- Will Alex De Minaur win Wimbledon Men's?No won
- Will Alexander Zverev win Wimbledon Men's?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon Men's?Yes won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win Wimbledon Men's?No won
- Will Hubert Hurkacz win Wimbledon Men's?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon Men's?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon Men's?No won
- Will another player win Wimbledon Men's?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.