TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon Men's?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,410
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,290

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,410 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x90e3…2846backed Yes57c20,747$11,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,921.761752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a12…01cebacked No43c16,970$7,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,296.942245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43ca…0a6ebacked No7c10,770$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Yes56c8,000$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5201060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d4f…00d8backed Yes48c7,215$3,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,780.71633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f35…d2eabacked Yes58c4,236$2,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed No43c3,799$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.76922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-63.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9fe0…f2a8backed No3c3,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f47…af93backed No41c2,030$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.471533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-45.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Yes55c1,646$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.733935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6103…3b6bbacked No45c1,404$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.34060%24 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Yes43c936.77$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.96944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked No74c741.9$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.05933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes75c703.37$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1760053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked No43c655$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.655429.6%16 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Yes57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2584944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes42c518.69$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.434837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-31.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0887…b235backed No6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes50c470.7$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.722037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bb2…1750backed Yes58c467.65$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65f2…b488backed Yes42c458.15$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.731127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-43.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7cc…4952backed Yes42c433.27$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.021936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96c4…bfdebacked No6c423.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.43205%1 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-59.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed No25c405.19$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.273050%15 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed No22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882450%12 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c91…9af7backed Yes78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+68.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fb0…e595backed No73c326.73$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e80…f694backed Yes34c322.32$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.65955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0060…eb25backed Yes34c297.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+48.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbae4…c085backed Yes40c287.41$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.41825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb27d…fc9cbacked Yes58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc7…7ca8backed Yes28c249.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.991050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0917…5f02backed Yes57c230.5$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814a…25adbacked Yes76c201.34$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.83333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc3e…ee8fbacked Yes76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+99.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6ea…81e7backed Yes57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe391…eea1backed Yes60c175$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7017647.2%83 W · 93 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3b5…7cdebacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb34d…68e2backed No46c163.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c62…45f8backed No46c160.37$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa2…ae4abacked No46c158.7$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20b6…cbfcbacked No46c156.52$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f21…b376backed Yes58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4f…ca22backed Yes42c146.91$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcde…e5d9backed Yes62c144.25$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x327d…b078backed Yes42c139.87$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f4d…ebccbacked Yes42c134.93$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dec…d7babacked Yes45c130.89$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e73…a236backed Yes39c130.61$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.842441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff5…b966backed Yes58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a3d…87c2backed Yes58c127.59$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x138c…3446backed Yes45c127$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecdc…cde1backed Yes46c126.03$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbc…a9edbacked Yes58c125.86$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4235…7acebacked Yes58c125.09$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9678…d9a7backed Yes58c124.14$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6631…7e19backed Yes58c124.14$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d1…b69abacked Yes45c124.08$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdef3…6e1cbacked Yes56c121.04$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90a1…c488backed Yes45c120.02$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b44…abbcbacked Yes47c119.06$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadb7…e388backed Yes45c118.2$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b6…ae63backed Yes42c118$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1428…7b7bbacked Yes46c116.03$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6de…aef0backed No58c116$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa729…1dd3backed Yes45c114.91$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd7…bb29backed Yes57c109.13$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x485a…7d4bbacked No56c107.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42e7…2f90backed No55c107.3$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ffa…1d21backed No57c106.66$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…6c0dbacked No58c102$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf5…2da7backed No54c101.15$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb60…56f8backed Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc567…ade4backed No58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d52…96d9backed No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf3…76eabacked No55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50d6…0f9fbacked Yes76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9c…eef5backed No59c96.4$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe07d…fe50backed No58c95$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0653…e566backed No58c95$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c33…8bbfbacked Yes32c94.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+215.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Yes32c93.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.57560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f30…2a31backed No55c93.54$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53e9…85c6backed No56c93$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed No73c91$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.332045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8f…4314backed No58c90$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7293…a1fcbacked No58c89$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b10…a38abacked Yes47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…1158backed No57c83.19$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf24…8d5bbacked Yes45c73.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbea9…02f9backed Yes77c70$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c19…09c6backed Yes45c68.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65df…052dbacked Yes46c67.17$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.54944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b87…f931backed Yes45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8bc…8edfbacked No45c57.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9e…436ebacked Yes30c55$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef6f…dfc0backed Yes44c54.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6e…b172backed Yes29c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.51540%6 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182b…f022backed Yes55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.52030%6 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe82c…ce7abacked Yes56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.