TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x90e3…2846

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
29
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,860Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,140
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,580Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$420
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,199.99
HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,279.99
Halle Open: Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,160.1
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,970Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,970
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,305Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$695.49
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.18
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.49
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$540
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$169.23
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+283.3%+$739.09
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+400%+$800
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,797Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,797.45
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon Men's?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11,825Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$8,921.76
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,990
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,100
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$404
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,073Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,072.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$995Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$705.5
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,720Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$2,280
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,800
Norway vs. France: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,680
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,930Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$3,070
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+300%+$750
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$570
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$820
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.