TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. France: France O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$190,600
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$220,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,600 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over43c18,082$7,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,250.0123942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under56c17,999$10,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,109.6838026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over41c15,562$6,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,124.982,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c15,004$8,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,518.774,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under60c14,536$8,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,682.041,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Over42c12,500$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,249.9910840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa368…2cf8backed Under0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under64c10,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,399.9553448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under56c9,409$5,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,256.0474447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under39c7,249$2,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,806.544,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x979f…4032backed Over44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8002882.1%23 W · 5 L+6.5wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+46.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Under14c4,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63029633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over43c3,198$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,820.118,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90e3…2846backed Over44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6801060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under61c2,799$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.642,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under39c2,765$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.352,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258321.7%18 W · 65 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+81.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x04f8…c9e9backed Over45c2,493$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.952552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x694d…9aadbacked Over44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.734650%23 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e61…5ad4backed Under55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.992347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over70c1,747$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.712,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over36c1,652$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.782,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under63c1,575$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62c3…b47abacked Over66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5105328.3%15 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under61c1,380$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.3911445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under57c1,184$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.12,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x426d…6885backed Over42c1,178$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.327844.9%35 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under60c1,166$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.792,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a51…ce14backed Over43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.796940.6%28 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0785…5405backed Over69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3107038.6%27 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under67c999.97$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.9870648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3999…f793backed Over36c956.39$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.093737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf131…69cabacked Over44c896.73$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.17540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over44c850.16$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.4422951.1%117 W · 112 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over44c849.75$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.0318051.1%92 W · 88 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2adc…7e50backed Over36c833.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.331533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Over43c800$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45610137.6%38 W · 63 L+14.5wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+45.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Under55c800$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44019750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fd6…c2b8backed Under60c750.95$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed Over44c721.16$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.853452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f4…6e5dbacked Over67c686.72$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.72887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick59cpaid+49.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8214235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over42c603.75$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.043,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under32c597.06$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.063,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa084…7cabbacked Over68c588.24$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.248552.9%45 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Over44c555$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.822449.1%110 W · 114 L+20.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Over43c527.3$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.5625532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3216136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Over43c515.69$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9417650%88 W · 88 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb817…bdc7backed Over44c511.36$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.364751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under68c472.83$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.551,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under60c443.25$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.213,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over42c431.5$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.523,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under74c372.98$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.342,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under70c357$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.92,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under56c356.02$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.371,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under65c330.71$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.1836350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b47…34d3backed Over44c316.25$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.25933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Over45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16556151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16845038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over46c291.39$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.351,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x963c…3122backed Over54c289.47$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.588143.2%35 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9048…d351backed Over70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7114841.9%62 W · 86 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under60c280.11$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.511,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under58c253.7$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.291,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de6…d677backed Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1507832.1%25 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over34c245$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.770244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Over42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.114351.7%74 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b2…f077backed Over41c235.83$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.693868.4%26 W · 12 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under58c230.63$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.151,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked Over43c229.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.097630.3%23 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Over44c227.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6112332.5%40 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffc…a23dbacked Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over43c218.14$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.348652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a6…dff7backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.339136.3%33 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x407c…4ba3backed Over36c206.33$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0515947.2%75 W · 84 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under57c198.25$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1133842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0122…34fbbacked Over44c183.86$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.961136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60dd…94b0backed Over44c170.45$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.451241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8227…2432backed Under59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017145.6%78 W · 93 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Over35c158.87$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2618929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9916…54dcbacked Over32c155.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4510028%28 W · 72 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over78c150$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.41,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x944f…0da6backed Over67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2513862.3%86 W · 52 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd0…1f67backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9317652.8%93 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x699c…3371backed Under35c143.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504515.6%7 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf17…5c20backed Over70c143$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434639.1%18 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under61c139.71$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.832837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a2…63d5backed Over44c136.58$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.587946.8%37 W · 42 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81d4…bb6ebacked Over43c135.4$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.183231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under70c133$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.13,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Under34c128.03$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4326449.2%130 W · 134 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Over40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7513148.1%63 W · 68 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under58c122.81$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9773234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe33d…c1febacked Over42c116.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.55238.5%20 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.644022.5%9 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-34.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6435251.7%182 W · 170 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under66c113.45$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8848937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb74f…2eb3backed Over44c109.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2615050.7%76 W · 74 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over71c108.58$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.842,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.