TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$700,029
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$763,263

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $700,029 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0224…292abacked Over5c104,893$5,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,243.691931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over29c90,822$26,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,666.654,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Under54c87,941$47,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,029.117550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under75c30,055$22,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,662.1874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under55c30,000$16,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,550.6927039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over32c23,538$7,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,486.211,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over46c16,036$7,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,346.6777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Under54c15,000$8,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,850.7512655.6%70 W · 56 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over37c9,366$3,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,457.9841331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x694d…9aadbacked Over42c8,371$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5004650%23 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over15c6,991$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.93,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…5ad4backed Under56c6,700$3,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,974.82347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under79c6,282$4,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.0539644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under69c5,803$4,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7991,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.9926447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over46c4,896$2,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,251.9413738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f0c…7ca5backed Under62c4,330$2,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.291560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+148.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Under66c3,945$2,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.5811638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over5c3,896$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.6868141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over37c3,662$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.714,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…07b4backed Under60c3,400$2,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.361668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over28c3,000$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.519821.4%21 W · 77 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over47c2,948$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.9431545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Over36c2,505$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.843737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa83c…a8f4backed Under71c2,100$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.22025%5 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over11c2,075$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.491,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under77c2,060$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.192,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under73c2,058$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.6223353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked Over5c2,041$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under61c2,032$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.2737650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under54c2,000$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9165824.1%14 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.9911638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Under54c2,000$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.996659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over18c1,960$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.522,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over51c1,957$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…bd51backed Under69c1,500$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.57138%27 W · 44 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over8c1,466$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.548,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under55c1,435$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.5733740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed Under70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5713447.8%64 W · 70 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over30c1,400$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.211042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4773…2289backed Under70c1,394$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.811376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5a6…d556backed Over35c1,384$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4888341%34 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over39c1,372$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.6673536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over17c1,354$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.3451514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over45c1,341$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9921641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Over31c1,333$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.6362633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d66…6c79backed Over40c1,225$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.864136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under53c1,218$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.2458942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over39c1,134$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.481,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over42c1,102$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.9187237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b1…e789backed Over45c1,099$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017053.5%91 W · 79 L+14.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2c0…a68dbacked Over44c1,080$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.346648.5%32 W · 34 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over47c1,070$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe392…c023backed Under60c1,041$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.4727543.6%120 W · 155 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Over29c1,022$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.3421444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa698…fc64backed Under80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b85…6216backed Over5c942.42$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.752931%9 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8985…f540backed Under54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.937042.9%30 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1492…a2c9backed Under54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.933534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda2b…9adcbacked Over5c914.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.39120%0 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over5c860.48$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.961,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfe6…c6d8backed Under58c855.37$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.37875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+58.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over5c824.8$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.241,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over21c802.26$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1266846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over42c770$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.412559.2%74 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba0…f679backed Over34c737.46$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25050%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over12c725.72$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.82,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Under68c722.71$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.7119957.3%114 W · 85 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1708…0619backed Over32c713.21$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2255534.5%19 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5802…0aedbacked Under59c700.87$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.2623944.8%107 W · 132 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over27c693.76$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18511122.5%25 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xffe8…7cd0backed Under73c687$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-84.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Over31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014946.3%69 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x310d…4decbacked Over50c629.96$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.3810142.6%43 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Under80c628.14$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1413453%71 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0571…78bebacked Over5c614.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306627.3%18 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2958…d5fabacked Under55c613.93$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.531816.7%3 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over2c604.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1916325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over41c600.04$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.821,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Under70c600$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.613461.9%83 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Under56c599.98$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.9927939.8%111 W · 168 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb5…41adbacked Under62c521.97$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.022638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc67c…5047backed Under59c509.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.6712529.6%37 W · 88 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under80c500.35$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5721166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15533120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over5c499.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2395739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb37a…f1b1backed Over45c499.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.493826.3%10 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+132.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over30c482.15$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.522,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6290…d7c1backed Under63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1914244.4%63 W · 79 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d24…cf3fbacked Under73c446.16$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.212369.6%16 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4884…237cbacked Under68c443.13$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1310055%55 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5669…0f13backed Under56c436.09$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.888140.7%33 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca0…cb82backed Over46c435.73$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017933.5%60 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x473d…caabbacked Under71c423.14$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.145060%30 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over29c417.53$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.669534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bb1…daf7backed Over5c416.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018821.8%41 W · 147 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c5…22d8backed Under77c402.78$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.865967.8%40 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc966…e142backed Over5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203710.8%4 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-72%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Under51c400$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19811156.8%63 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde01…a938backed Under68c392.54$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.226440.6%26 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.